Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.6B CNY (≈ $1.9B) · ISIN CNE100001641
What is Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 515% above our fair value of ¥0.3300.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.2000 to ¥0.4600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.39 – ¥30.03 · fair‑value band ¥0.2000 – ¥0.4600 · the ¥2.03 price screens above the ¥0.3300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) currently trades at ¥2.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3300, implying the stock looks roughly 515.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥0.4800 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥2.03 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.0700, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 645M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2000 (bear case) to ¥0.4600 (bull case); at ¥2.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −84%, 002607 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0068 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.4800) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.0700). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services.
Full company description
Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services. It also offers educational technology consulting, technology development, technology promotion, technology transfer, and technical services; educational consulting; cultural consulting; enterprise management consulting services; enterprise investment consulting; computer technology training services; public relations services; conference services; human resources services. In addition, the company engages in the hosting of exhibitions and display activities; design, production, agency, and publication of advertisements; intermediary activities; radio and television program production; internet cultural activities; publication wholesale and retail; and telecommunications business. Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −24.6%/yr. Reported net income was 48.9M CNY in FY2025.
002607 screens 515% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 142 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU | $58.22 | $48.37 | −17% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $11.69 | $15.60 | +33% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $38.36 | $41.45 | +8% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹119.46 | ₹13.69 | −89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $151.19 | $152.01 | +1% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $84.58 | $139.45 | +65% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | −18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $33.81 | $40.65 | +20% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $81.90 | $105.48 | +29% |
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