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Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹411B

SB Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS · NSE
Price₹799.90
Fair Value₹207.06
Upside-74.1%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.51% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ₹118.24 – ₹259.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +20.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹259.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹118.24 to ₹259.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹818.05 ₹333.56 Fair Value ₹207.06 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹333.56 – ₹818.05 · fair‑value band ₹118.24 – ₹259.21 · the ₹799.90 price screens above the ₹207.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) currently trades at ₹799.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹207.06, implying the stock looks roughly 74.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited generated revenue of ₹44.5B at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 45.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at ₹939M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹118.24 (bear case) to ₹259.21 (bull case); at ₹799.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -74%, SONACOMS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹55.03 to ₹488.05). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹82.03 ₹153.61 ₹304.47 80
Residual Income ₹87.50 ₹100.78 ₹196.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹75.47 ₹149.15 ₹273.57 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹86.71 ₹136.46 ₹299.14 38
Owner Earnings ₹122.12 ₹278.79 ₹622.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹75.47 ₹131.11 ₹245.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹145.49 ₹274.97 ₹525.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹155.66 ₹360.07 ₹639.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹76.70 ₹165.43 ₹233.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹131.33 ₹315.29 ₹666.13 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹138.86 ₹337.07 ₹692.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹69.98 ₹488.05 ₹684.91 54
Lynch FV ₹172.03 ₹245.76 ₹319.49 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹172.03 ₹245.76 ₹319.49 46
EPV ₹98.87 ₹115.35 ₹130.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹30.77 ₹67.18 ₹113.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹30.77 ₹55.03 ₹70.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹169.81 ₹226.42 ₹283.02 63
P/S Multiple ₹64.38 ₹85.84 ₹107.30 58
P/B Multiple ₹131.22 ₹174.96 ₹218.70 55
EV/EBIT ₹177.66 ₹235.06 ₹292.46 53
EV/EBITDA ₹161.89 ₹214.04 ₹266.18 54
EV/Revenue ₹65.55 ₹91.30 ₹117.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹48.09 ₹64.44 ₹96.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹82.03 ₹153.61 ₹304.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹75.47 ₹149.15 ₹273.57 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹87.50 ₹100.78 ₹196.09 76
ROIC Compounder ₹102.22 ₹144.68 ₹187.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹227.86 ₹325.52 ₹423.17 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹325.52) versus Dividend Discount (₹55.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹44.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.4%
Net margin 14.4%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow ₹2.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 77.4
More key figures
Operating margin 17.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹10.33
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.1%
Net debt ₹939M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 95

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 17
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies systems and components for the automotive industry in India and internationally.

Full company description

Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies systems and components for the automotive industry in India and internationally. The company offers mobility products comprising electronically and limited locking differentials, integrated motor controller modules, traction motors, spool gears, controllers, park gear, spiral bevel gears, input/rotor shafts, starter motors, differential assembly and bevel gears, intermediate and portal axle gears, epicyclic geartrains, in-cabin radar and short range radar sensors, steering bevel boxes, coupling/sleeves, inter-axle gear sets, hub wheel motors, integrated hub motors and controllers, and integrated drive motors and controllers. It also provides railway components comprising brake systems, dampers, couplers, suspension systems, friction and rubber products, HVAC systems, electric control panels, vacuum evacuation systems, air springs, and automatic plug doors. In addition, the company offers non-automotive components, such as AVG/AMR drive units, industrial robot and eVOLT reduction gearboxes, short range radar and zone monitoring sensors, humanoid components, and eVOLT and humanoid motors. Its products are used in conventional and electric passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, off-highway vehicles, buses, and electric two and three-wheelers, as well as for railways and non-automotive applications. The company was formerly known as Sona Okegawa Precision Forgings Ltd. and changed its name to Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited in July 2013. Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited reported revenue of ₹44.5B in FY2026 versus ₹21.1B in FY2022, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.4B in FY2026, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹44.5B
Latest YoY
+25.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Revenue +20.5%/yr
FY22 ₹21.1B
FY23 ₹26.6B
FY24 ₹31.8B
FY25 ₹35.5B
FY26 ₹44.5B
Net income +15.4%/yr
FY22 ₹3.6B
FY23 ₹4.0B
FY24 ₹5.2B
FY25 ₹6.0B
FY26 ₹6.4B

SONACOMS screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SONACOMS

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 643 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.86× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 39.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 43 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,142 MXN +2%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹169.50 ₹80.63 -52%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹46,750 ₹13,061 -72%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,082 ₹393.20 -81%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,232 ₹426.57 -65%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,126 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 71,500 KRW 196,479 KRW +175%
Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND ₹2,497 ₹1,211 -51%
Endurance Technologies Limited ENDURANCE ₹2,758 ₹1,324 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹207.06 versus a price of ₹799.90, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SONACOMS?
Our model-based fair value for Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is ₹207.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹799.90.
What is the quality score of SONACOMS?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹44.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SONACOMS?
The net profit margin of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is about 14.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited pay a dividend?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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