Genuine Parts Co (GPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $17.4B · ISIN US3724601055
What is Genuine Parts Co really worth?
Genuine Parts Co
GPC · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 18% above our fair value of $116.14.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $58.07 to $116.14 (+100.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($47.30 to $184.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $91.47 – $168.46 · fair‑value band $47.30 – $184.98 · the $137.62 price screens above the $116.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Genuine Parts Co (GPC) currently trades at $137.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $116.14, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $61.19 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $137.62 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $21.41, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Genuine Parts Co generated revenue of $24.7B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at $7.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $47.30 (bear case) to $184.98 (bull case); at $137.62, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −16%, GPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($61.19) versus Earnings-Based ($2.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group.
Full company description
Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. It distributes automotive replacement parts, accessories, tools, equipment, and related solutions for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty equipment. The company also offers replacement parts, including brakes, batteries, filters, engine components, and fluids; specialized services, such as paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting; and accessories and specialty equipment for automotive and heavy-duty vehicles, as well as tools and diagnostic devices for repair and maintenance. In addition, it provides independent repair shops and auto care centers under the NAPA brand, and offers technical expertise and training programs to customers. Further, the company provides bearings, seals, and gaskets; hose, fittings, hydraulics, and pneumatics components; abrasives, adhesives, sealants, and tape; pumps and power transmission; tools and testing equipment; electrical supplies and safety products; and chemicals and janitorial supplies. Additionally, it offers inventory management; vendor-managed inventory; asset repair and tracking, including radio frequency identification; and specialized repair services for gearboxes, fluid power systems, pumps, drive shafts, electrical panels, and hoses and gaskets. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Genuine Parts Co reported revenue of $24.3B in FY2025 versus $18.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $65.9M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GPC screens 18% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Genuine Parts (GPC) Back In Focus Following Its Dividend Raise As Valuation Questions Linger
- Will Genuine Parts’ 70th Straight Dividend Hike and Cash Focus Reshape GPC’s Investment Narrative
- Genuine Parts Company to Present at the 2026 Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference
- Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock Could Be 45% Undervalued Despite E Commerce Deal
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 640 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | −46% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,932 | $2,287 | −22% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 450,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +43% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | −51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $65.57 | $68.17 | +4% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.82 | ¥28.28 | −38% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | −81% |
| Autoliv, Inc ALIVSDB | kr 1,154 | kr 198.76 | −83% |
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