StoneX Group (SNEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.8B
StoneX Group
SNEX · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −11.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($46.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($25.09 to $46.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.10 – $122.28 · fair‑value band $25.09 – $46.85 · the $66.78 price screens above the $33.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
StoneX Group (SNEX) currently trades at $66.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.45, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, StoneX Group generated revenue of $151B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.2%. Net debt stands at $16.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.09 (bear case) to $46.85 (bull case); at $66.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -50%, SNEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($565.67) versus Asset-Based ($20.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to a market ecosystem in the United States, Europe, South America, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments.
Full company description
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to a market ecosystem in the United States, Europe, South America, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments. The Commercial segment provides risk management and hedging, voice brokerage, market intelligence, physical trading, and commodity financing, marketing, procurement, logistics, and price management services; and engages in the risk management and hedging services, execution and clearing of exchange-traded and OTC products. This segment also acts as an institutional dealer in fixed income securities to serve asset managers, commercial bank trust and investment departments, broker-dealers, and insurance companies; and engages in asset management business. The Self-Directed/Retail segment provides trading services and solutions in the global financial markets, including spot foreign exchange, precious metals trading, contracts for differences, and spread bets; and wealth management services, as well as offering physical gold and other precious metals in various forms and denominations through Stonexbullion.com. The company was formerly known as INTL FCStone Inc. and changed its name to StoneX Group Inc. in July 2020. StoneX Group Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
StoneX Group reported revenue of $132B in FY2025 versus $42.5B in FY2021, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was $306M in FY2025, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SNEX screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is StoneX Group (SNEX) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"
- StoneX Q3 Earnings Call Focuses on RJO Synergies, Prime Growth
- StoneX expects RJO cost synergies to reach a $50M run rate by end of Q1 FY 2027 as volatility moderates
- SNEX Q3 Earnings Top on Commercial and Institutional Gains, Stock Dips
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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