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Stonex Group Inc (SNEX) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.8B · ISIN US8618961085

What is Stonex Group Inc really worth?

SG Stonex Group Inc logo Stonex Group Inc SNEX · US
Price$69.54
Fair Value$50.18
Upside−27.8%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 39% above our fair value of $50.18.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.6 %/yr)

Risks

!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range $37.63 – $70.28

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −7.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($37.63 to $70.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$81.77 $7.40 Fair Value $50.18 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.40 – $81.77 · fair‑value band $37.63 – $70.28 · the $69.54 price screens above the $50.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Stonex Group Inc (SNEX) currently trades at $69.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.18, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $209.18 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $69.54 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $20.10, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Stonex Group Inc generated revenue of $151B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.2%. Net debt stands at $16.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.63 (bear case) to $70.28 (bull case); at $69.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −28%, SNEX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.00 per share, which is 10.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $613.88 $1,350 $2,536 72
Owner Earnings $96.54 71
Residual Income $28.06 $33.20 $62.45 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $96.54 71
5Y P/E Exit $74.91 $209.18 $356.97 65
10Y P/E Exit $257.56 $504.11 $828.72 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.25 $183.04 $256.87 61
Lynch FV $94.57 $135.10 $175.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.74 $39.33 $59.55 64
DDM Multi-Stage $19.74 $33.99 $41.51 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $37.63 $50.18 $62.72 63
P/B Multiple $31.50 $42.00 $52.50 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.00 $20.10 $30.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $613.88 $1,350 $2,536 72
Rev-Margin DCF $273.77 $565.67 $1,183 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income $28.06 $33.20 $62.45 70

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($565.67) versus Asset-Based ($20.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.9
P/S ratio 0.03 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9
Dividend yield 2.0% payout 25.5%
Net margin 0.2% FY2025
Return on equity 20.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 0.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $151B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.8% 3y avg +26.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +120%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.3B FY2025
Net debt $16.9B FY2025 · ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 99
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to a market ecosystem in the United States, Europe, South America, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments.

Full company description

StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to a market ecosystem in the United States, Europe, South America, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments. The Commercial segment provides risk management and hedging, voice brokerage, market intelligence, physical trading, and commodity financing, marketing, procurement, logistics, and price management services; and engages in the risk management and hedging services, execution and clearing of exchange-traded and OTC products. This segment also acts as an institutional dealer in fixed income securities to serve asset managers, commercial bank trust and investment departments, broker-dealers, and insurance companies; and engages in asset management business. The Self-Directed/Retail segment provides trading services and solutions in the global financial markets, including spot foreign exchange, precious metals trading, contracts for differences, and spread bets; and wealth management services, as well as offering physical gold and other precious metals in various forms and denominations through Stonexbullion.com. The company was formerly known as INTL FCStone Inc. and changed its name to StoneX Group Inc. in July 2020. StoneX Group Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Stonex Group Inc reported revenue of $132B in FY2025 versus $42.5B in FY2021, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was $306M in FY2025, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$132B
Latest YoY
+32.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+3.4% (1.4 + 2.0)
Revenue +32.8%/yr
FY21 $42.5B
FY22 $66.0B
FY23 $60.9B
FY24 $99.9B
FY25 $132B
Net income +27.4%/yr
FY21 $116M
FY22 $207M
FY23 $239M
FY24 $261M
FY25 $306M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 %

of which total revenue +15.0 % · buybacks/dilution −7.8 %

EBIT margin +2.9 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SNEX screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stonex Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNEX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 453 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 7.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 10
FUTURE100 · sector 91
PAST81 · sector 30
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND39 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.77 $138.97 −35%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,034 $756.89 −27%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $110.16 $66.17 −40%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $104.26 $30.94 −70%
Macquarie Group MQG A$251.87 A$75.58 −70%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥27.93 ¥17.68 −37%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.87 ¥18.62 +4%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥19.42 ¥4.77 −75%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥25.78 ¥14.17 −45%
Huatai Securities Co 601688 ¥19.56 ¥19.26 −2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Stonex Group Inc (SNEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.18 versus a price of $69.54, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNEX?
Our model-based fair value for Stonex Group Inc is $50.18 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $69.54.
What is the quality score of SNEX?
Stonex Group Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Stonex Group Inc (SNEX)?
Stonex Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $151B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNEX?
The net profit margin of Stonex Group Inc is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Stonex Group Inc pay a dividend?
Stonex Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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