Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $11.4B · ISIN US82706C1080
What is Silicon Motion Technology really worth?
Silicon Motion Technology
SIMO · US
A solid business, but trading 322% above our fair value of $55.91.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −12.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($87.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($25.76 to $87.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.89 – $336.90 · fair‑value band $25.76 – $87.71 · the $235.70 price screens above the $55.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) currently trades at $235.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.91, implying the stock looks roughly 321.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $96.67 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $235.70 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $11.03, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Silicon Motion Technology generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 105.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $202M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.76 (bear case) to $87.71 (bull case); at $235.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 242% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −76%, SIMO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.07 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($96.67) versus Growth DCF ($11.03). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers controllers for computing-grade solid state drives (SSDs), which are used in PCs and other client devices; enterprise-grade SSDs used in enterprise and hyperscale data centers; eMMC and UFS mobile embedded storage for use in smartphones and IoT devices; flash memory cards and flash drives for use in expandable storage; and specialized SSDs that are used in industrial, commercial, and automotive applications. The company markets its controllers under the SMI brand; and single-chip SSDs under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands. It markets and sells its products through direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors to NAND flash makers, module makers, hyperscalers, and OEMs. Silicon Motion Technology Corporation was founded in 1995 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Silicon Motion Technology reported revenue of $886M in FY2025 versus $922M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $123M in FY2025, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.6 % · buybacks/dilution +3.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SIMO screens 322% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Cheap As CRA Readiness Comes Into Focus?
- Silicon Motion Surges 186% in Past Year: Reason to Buy the Stock?
- Silicon Motion (SIMO) Stock Could Be 47% Overvalued On EU Cyber Resilience Progress
- Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Reaches First EU Cyber Resilience Act Compliance Milestone
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 325 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $227.98 | $98.98 | −57% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $427.30 | $296.10 | −31% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $371.54 | $118.27 | −68% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,647,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | −10% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $932.86 | $148.38 | −84% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $476.67 | $55.02 | −88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $92.09 | $35.41 | −62% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $266.54 | $78.54 | −71% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $164.78 | $147.20 | −11% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,845 TWD | 1,559 TWD | −59% |
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