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Intel Corporation (INTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Intel Corporation $67.34, price $98.12, upside -31.4%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US4581401001

IC Intel Corporation logo Thin data Oct 14, 2026

Intel Corporation

INTC · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Insider activity 45/100
Fair value $67.34 · Overvalued (−31.4%)
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -19.8% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -13.0%
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 27/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$140.94 $18.13 Fair Value $67.34 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.13 – $140.94 · fair‑value band $47.44 – $87.22 · the $98.12 price screens above the $67.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

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Company profile

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry.

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The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services.

It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners.

It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers.

Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem.

The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Stock analysis

Intel Corporation (INTC) currently trades at $98.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $67.34, 31.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $47.44 (bear) to $87.22 (bull), the price of $98.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Intel Corporation reported revenue of $52.9B in FY2025 versus $79.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$267M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $673B · P/E ex one-offs 233.6 · P/S ratio 11.8 · EPS (TTM) $−2.17 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 12.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −31%, INTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $47.44 Fair Value $67.34 Bull $87.22
Price $98.12 · Upside -31.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA $24.20 $34.14 $44.09 67
NCAV (Graham) $10.81 $14.48 $21.62 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $24.20 $34.14 $44.09 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.81 $14.48 $21.62 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 22
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 71
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 51
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 84
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 80
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 21
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.5% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.4% (2020) → 0.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

INTC screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Efforts to secure external clients for foundry operations mark the main strength while an eroding competitive position in semiconductors together with negative free cash flow net losses and high debt form the chief weakness.
Main risk: Reliance on marquee external clients for foundry growth risks hitting demand for advanced chip manufacturing capacity if those partners shift collaboration elsewhere.
Intel stays involved in developing manufacturing capacity for Elon Musk’s Terafab project even while Musk discusses collaboration with TSMC. The move underscores the foundry business’s need for marquee external clients to scale beyond internal demand. Will these partnerships accelerate Intel’s recovery in advanced chip production or leave it vulnerable if key partners hedge their bets elsewhere?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 346 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −19.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 12.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 25.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.39× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 11.81× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.50× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 93
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $482.30 $530.53 +10% vs INTC
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,419,000 KRW 1,560,900 KRW +10% vs INTC
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $228.52 $198.56 −13% vs INTC
Broadcom Inc AVGO $357.31 $303.10 −15% vs INTC
MediaTek Inc 2454 4,625 TWD 3,142 TWD −32% vs INTC
Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL $275.28 $101.64 −63% vs INTC
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $294.90 $81.75 −72% vs INTC
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $605.53 $122.60 −80% vs INTC
Arm Holdings ARM $266.28 $44.44 −83% vs INTC
Micron Technology, Inc MU $1,029 $151.51 −85% vs INTC

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Intel Corporation · Fair Value
$67.34 −31%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INTC

Frequently asked questions

Is Intel Corporation (INTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $67.34 versus a price of $98.12, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INTC?
Our model-based fair value for Intel Corporation is $67.34 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $98.12.
What is the quality score of INTC?
Intel Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $67.34 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $47.44, optimistic scenario $87.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intel Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $67.34, about −31% upside versus a price of $98.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $47.44, optimistic scenario $87.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Intel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $57.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intel Corporation it is $67.34 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of $98.12. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Intel Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, INTC trades above its calculated fair value: price $98.12, fair value $67.34, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($98.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($67.34). For Intel Corporation the two are $30.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intel Corporation worth?
The market values Intel Corporation at about $673B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is $98.12; our models calculate a fair value of $67.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INTC?
Our models span a range for Intel Corporation: cautious scenario $47.44, base $67.34, optimistic $87.22 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price $98.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of INTC?
The PEG ratio of Intel Corporation is 0.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 14, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Intel Corporation (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity −10.7%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is INTC from its 52-week high?
Intel Corporation trades at $98.12, about 30% below its 52-week high of $140.94 and 192% above the low of $33.62 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $67.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intel Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intel Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price $98.12, calculated fair value $67.34 (−31%), Quality Score 39/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INTC calculated?
We run Intel Corporation through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $67.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Intel Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $98.12. Our model-based fair value is $67.34, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intel Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($87.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($47.44 to $87.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Intel Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The market capitalisation of Intel Corporation is $673B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Intel Corporation (INTC) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of Intel Corporation is 233.6 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss, median at FY-end 13.6 (9 FY)).
What is the P/S ratio of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intel Corporation is 11.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are $−2.17. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The net margin of Intel Corporation is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intel Corporation is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intel Corporation is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intel Corporation (INTC)?
The operating margin of Intel Corporation is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Revenue at Intel Corporation is growing +25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Earnings per share at Intel Corporation are growing −71.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Intel Corporation (INTC) generate?
The free cash flow of Intel Corporation is −$4.9B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Intel Corporation (INTC) carry?
The net debt of Intel Corporation is $32.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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