MediaTek Inc (2454) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 5.9T TWD (≈ $186B) · ISIN TW0002454006
What is MediaTek Inc really worth?
A strong business, but trading 183% above our fair value of 1,559 TWD.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +10.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,915 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 437.85 TWD – 4,612 TWD · fair‑value band 1,098 TWD – 1,915 TWD · the 4,415 TWD price screens above the 1,559 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
MediaTek Inc (2454) currently trades at 4,415 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,559 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 183.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2,092 TWD per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 4,415 TWD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 168.16 TWD, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, MediaTek Inc generated revenue of 592B TWD at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 213B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,098 TWD (bear case) to 1,915 TWD (bull case); at 4,415 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 298% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −65%, 2454 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 8.38 TWD per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,092 TWD) versus Asset-Based (168.16 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
MediaTek Inc. engages in the research, development, production, manufacture, and marketing of multimedia integrated circuits (ICs) in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers multimedia, computer peripherals oriented, consumer-oriented, and other ICs for various applications.
Full company description
MediaTek Inc. engages in the research, development, production, manufacture, and marketing of multimedia integrated circuits (ICs) in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers multimedia, computer peripherals oriented, consumer-oriented, and other ICs for various applications. It also offers design, test runs, maintenance and repair, and technological consultation services for software and hardware solutions; and sale and delegation patents and circuit layout rights for its ICs products. In addition, the company provides research, marketing, and technical services; intellectual property right management services; and general investing services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MediaTek Inc reported revenue of 596B TWD in FY2025 versus 493B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 105B TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2454 screens 183% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 325 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $227.98 | $98.98 | −57% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $427.30 | $296.10 | −31% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $371.54 | $118.27 | −68% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,647,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | −10% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $932.86 | $148.38 | −84% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $476.67 | $55.02 | −88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $92.09 | $35.41 | −62% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $266.54 | $78.54 | −71% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $164.78 | $147.20 | −11% |
| Analog Devices, Inc ADI | $354.52 | $130.34 | −63% |
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