MediaTek Inc (2454) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 5.9T TWD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,163 TWD to 1,559 TWD (+34.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,915 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 437.85 TWD – 4,612 TWD · fair‑value band 1,098 TWD – 1,915 TWD · the 4,210 TWD price screens above the 1,559 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MediaTek Inc (2454) currently trades at 4,210 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,559 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MediaTek Inc generated revenue of 592B TWD at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 213B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,098 TWD (bear case) to 1,915 TWD (bull case); at 4,210 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 280% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -63%, 2454 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,092 TWD) versus Asset-Based (168.16 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 2454 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MediaTek Inc. engages in the research, development, production, manufacture, and marketing of multimedia integrated circuits (ICs) in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers multimedia, computer peripherals oriented, consumer-oriented, and other ICs for various applications.
Full company description
MediaTek Inc. engages in the research, development, production, manufacture, and marketing of multimedia integrated circuits (ICs) in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers multimedia, computer peripherals oriented, consumer-oriented, and other ICs for various applications. It also offers design, test runs, maintenance and repair, and technological consultation services for software and hardware solutions; and sale and delegation patents and circuit layout rights for its ICs products. In addition, the company provides research, marketing, and technical services; intellectual property right management services; and general investing services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MediaTek Inc reported revenue of 596B TWD in FY2025 versus 493B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 105B TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2454 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- MediaTek Wants 20% of Custom AI Chips. Alphabet (GOOGL) Could Win Before Broadcom (AVGO) Loses
- MediaTek Inc (TPE:2454) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: AI ASIC Momentum Drives Record ...
- Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) And MediaTek Team Up For AI Ready Vehicle Storage
- MediaTek plans $5 billion financing for AI data-center chips
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 322 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €802.10 | €185.67 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
| ASE Technology Holding 3711 | 621.00 TWD | 200.08 TWD | -68% |
Compare MediaTek Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is MediaTek Inc (2454) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 2454?
What is the quality score of 2454?
What is the revenue of MediaTek Inc (2454)?
What is the net profit margin of 2454?
Does MediaTek Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track MediaTek Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.