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Silicom (SILC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $257M · ISIN IL0010826928

What is Silicom really worth?

S Silicom logo Silicom SILC · US
Price$40.07
Fair Value$13.75
Upside−65.7%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 191% above our fair value of $13.75.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.6% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $9.07 – $17.18

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −13.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.07 to $17.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.60 $11.70 Fair Value $13.75 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.70 – $51.60 · fair‑value band $9.07 – $17.18 · the $40.07 price screens above the $13.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Silicom (SILC) currently trades at $40.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.75, implying the stock looks roughly 191.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Silicom generated revenue of $66.6M at a net margin of −16.6%. Revenue grew 32.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $24.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.07 (bear case) to $17.18 (bull case); at $40.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 200% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −66%, SILC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $10.29 $13.80 $20.59 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $10.29 $13.80 $20.59 51

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 3.85 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−1.93
Net margin −18.5% FY2025
Return on equity −9.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.8% avg 5y
Operating margin −14.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $66.6M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.8% 3y avg −25.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −79.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$3.3M FY2025
Net cash $24.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Silicom Ltd. designs, manufactures, markets, and supports networking and data infrastructure solutions in the United States, North America, Israel, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Silicom Ltd. designs, manufactures, markets, and supports networking and data infrastructure solutions in the United States, North America, Israel, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It provides server network interface cards; and smart card products, including encryption, data compression, other hardware acceleration and offloading cards, and field programmable gate-array based cards. The company also provides smart platforms, such as virtualized customer-premises equipment and universal customer-premises equipment; and edge devices for SD-WAN, SASE, telco dedicated routers, and NFV. In addition, it offers switches; edge artificial intelligence solutions; edge networking accessories; transceivers; and embedded motherboards. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturing, cloud, telco mobile, and related service provider markets. Silicom Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Kfar Saba, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Silicom reported revenue of $61.9M in FY2025 versus $128M in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$61.9M
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −16.7%/yr
FY21 $128M
FY22 $151M
FY23 $124M
FY24 $58.1M
FY25 $61.9M
Net income
FY21 $10.5M
FY22 $18.3M
FY23 −$26.4M
FY24 −$13.7M
FY25 −$11.5M

SILC screens 191% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silicom Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SILC

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.41× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 39
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $112.15 $61.53 −45%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.21 $3.78 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.13 $19.85 +96%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Silicom (SILC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.75 versus a price of $40.07, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SILC?
Our model-based fair value for Silicom is $13.75 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.07.
What is the quality score of SILC?
Silicom has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Silicom (SILC)?
Silicom reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SILC?
The net profit margin of Silicom is about −16.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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