Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. (SIGMAFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 92.3B MXN (≈ $5.5B) · ISIN MXP000511016
What is Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. really worth?
A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of 22.37 MXN.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (12.94 MXN to 37.33 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.52 MXN – 19.09 MXN · fair‑value band 12.94 MXN – 37.33 MXN · the 18.64 MXN price screens below the 22.37 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. (SIGMAFA) currently trades at 18.64 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.37 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 28.72 MXN per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the 18.64 MXN price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 4.58 MXN, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. generated revenue of 177B MXN at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.6%. Net debt stands at 44.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.94 MXN (bear case) to 37.33 MXN (bull case); at 18.64 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 20%, SIGMAFA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.6414 MXN per share, which is 2.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (28.72 MXN) versus Asset-Based (1.82 MXN). Highest evidence: EPV (71).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V., a consumer-packaged goods company, produces, markets, and distributes food products in Mexico, the United States, Central and South America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Sigma and Other segments.
Full company description
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V., a consumer-packaged goods company, produces, markets, and distributes food products in Mexico, the United States, Central and South America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Sigma and Other segments. The company offers cooked meats comprising hams, sausages, mortadella, and bacon; fresh meat; dry meat consisting of cured meats and salami; dairy products, such as cheese, yogurt, cream, and butter; refrigerated pizzas, prepared meals and food, snacks, plant-based protein products, ready-to-drink coffee, fish, burgers, dry goods, and canned products; other frozen and refrigerated food; and alternative proteins. It sells its products under the Aoste, Bar S, Bernina, Better Balance, Braedt, Camelia, Campofrio, Caroli, Cesar Moroni, Checo, Chen, Chimex, Cochonou, Comnor, Del Prado, Don Diego, El Cazo, Fiorucci, Franja, Fud, Galicia, Grill House by Sigma, Iassa, Ibero, Juris, Justin Bridou, La Chona, La Villita, Laska, Lekkerland, Longmont, Los Altos, Marcassou, Monteverde, Mucho Gusto, Navidul, Nayar, Nobre, Noche Buena, Norteñita, Oscar Mayer, Otto Kunz, Revilla, San Antonio, San Rafael, Sigma Foodservice, Snack'In For You, Sosua, Stegeman, Superior, Supremo, Tangamanga, Tastech by Sigma, Vitta, Viva, Yoplait, Zar, and Zurqui brands. The company was formerly known as Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. in December 2025. Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of 178B MXN in FY2025 versus 152B MXN in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 8.5B MXN in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2022.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sigma Foods SAB de CV (ALFFF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Growth and Strategic ...
- Sigma Foods reports 2Q26 EBITDA of US $296 million, driven by higher Volume, Revenues, and Comparable EBITDA
- Mexico’s Sigma Foods buys US smoked meats producer
- Sigma Foods reports EBITDA of US $260 million in 1Q26; record first-quarter Volume and Revenues
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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