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SES AI Corp (SES) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $397M · ISIN US78397Q1094

What is SES AI Corp really worth?

SA SES AI Corp logo SES AI Corp SES · US
Price$0.5068
Fair Value$0.4900
Upside−3.3%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $0.4900.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +929.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3200 – $0.6100

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price −9.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3200 to $0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.14 $0.2700 Fair Value $0.4900 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2700 – $11.14 · fair‑value band $0.3200 – $0.6100 · the $0.5068 price screens above the $0.4900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

SES AI Corp (SES) currently trades at $0.5068, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4900, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $21.9M. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −30.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3200 (bear case) to $0.6100 (bull case); at $0.5068, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −3%, SES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.3300 $0.4400 $0.6600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.3300 $0.4400 $0.6600 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 18.1 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.2200
Return on equity −30.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −23.5% avg 5y
Operating margin −266% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $21.9M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$61.2M FY2025
Net cash $20.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications.

Full company description

SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications. It manufactures and sells residential and commercial ESS systems, li-ion, li metal battery cells and battery materials, such as electrolytes for automotive original equipment manufacturers and others. The company operates in the United States and the Asia Pacific regions. SES AI Corporation was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Woburn, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SES AI Corp reported revenue of $21.0M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$73.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$21.0M
Latest YoY
+929.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $2.0M
FY25 $21.0M
Net income
FY21 −$31.3M
FY22 −$51.0M
FY23 −$53.4M
FY24 −$100M
FY25 −$73.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SES AI Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SES

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on assets −17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 18.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE29 · sector 14
FUTURE79 · sector 21
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,932 $2,287 −22%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 450,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +43%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SES AI Corp (SES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4900 versus a price of $0.5068, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SES?
Our model-based fair value for SES AI Corp is $0.4900 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5068.
What is the quality score of SES?
SES AI Corp has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SES AI Corp (SES)?
SES AI Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.9M (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SES?
The net profit margin of SES AI Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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