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Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.2B · ISIN US8170705011

What is Seneca Foods Corp A really worth?

SF Seneca Foods Corp A logo Seneca Foods Corp A SENEA · US
Price$204.28
Fair Value$383.76
Upside+87.9%
Quality72/100

A solid business, trading 47% below our fair value of $383.76.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +2.5 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
!Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $266.83 – $518.91

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $290.22 to $383.76 (+32.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +17.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($266.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($266.83 to $518.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$207.30 $32.68 Fair Value $383.76 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $32.68 – $207.30 · fair‑value band $266.83 – $518.91 · the $204.28 price screens below the $383.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) currently trades at $204.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $383.76, implying the stock looks roughly 46.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $388.12 per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the $204.28 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $97.04, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Seneca Foods Corp A generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at $232M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $266.83 (bear case) to $518.91 (bull case); at $204.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 88%, SENEA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $7.18 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $273.44 $388.12 $532.58 81
Growth DCF $277.96 $381.04 $504.63 79
Owner Earnings $160.30 $233.07 $324.75 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $273.44 $388.12 $532.58 81
Owner Earnings $160.30 $233.07 $324.75 77
5Y Revenue Exit $233.95 $359.49 $513.28 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $276.23 $435.50 $613.61 75
5Y P/E Exit $269.36 $423.16 $577.11 71
10Y Revenue Exit $241.27 $350.54 $485.05 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $271.83 $397.75 $552.49 68
10Y P/E Exit $267.89 $390.08 $527.96 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $149.35 $377.53 $490.53 65
PEG = 1.0 $69.80 $99.71 $129.63 57
EPV $138.40 $162.21 $182.06 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0600 $0.0800 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $345.92 $461.22 $576.53 63
P/S Multiple $280.03 $373.37 $466.71 58
P/B Multiple $280.03 $373.37 $466.71 55
EV/EBIT $326.14 $446.93 $567.72 66
EV/EBITDA $323.04 $442.79 $562.55 67
EV/Revenue $222.41 $333.25 $444.09 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $72.42 $97.04 $144.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $277.96 $381.04 $504.63 79
Rev-Margin DCF $233.95 $363.70 $506.16 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $136.24 $172.87 $452.56 68
ROIC Compounder $138.40 $167.72 $200.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $267.46 $382.08 $496.71 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($388.12) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.6 as of Jun 16, 2026
P/S ratio 0.73 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $16.59 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6
Net margin 6.9% FY2026
Return on equity 16.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 6.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.9% 3y avg +3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $180M FY2026
Net debt $232M FY2026 · ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and jarred fruits and vegetables; and packaged snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various national and regional brands that the company owns or licenses, including Aunt …

Full company description

Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and jarred fruits and vegetables; and packaged snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various national and regional brands that the company owns or licenses, including Aunt Nellie's, CherryMan, Green Giant, Green Valley, Libby's, READ, and Seneca. In addition, it packs canned and frozen vegetables. Further, the company engages in the sale of cans, ends, and seeds, as well as aircraft operations. It provides its products to grocery outlets, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, limited assortment stores, club stores, and dollar stores; specialty retailers; and food service distributors, restaurant chains, industrial markets, other food packagers, and export customers in approximately 55 countries, as well as federal, state, and local governments for school and other feeding programs. Seneca Foods Corporation was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Fairport, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Seneca Foods Corp A reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2026 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $115M in FY2026, compounding +25.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (43Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+22.7% (22.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.6B
FY26 $1.7B
Net income +25.5%/yr
FY22 $46.2M
FY23 $9.2M
FY24 $63.3M
FY25 $41.2M
FY26 $115M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +17.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.6 %

of which total revenue +2.4 % · buybacks/dilution +4.1 %

EBIT margin +7.8 %
Tax rate +1.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seneca Foods Corp A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SENEA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +88% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.61× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.83× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE100 · sector 21
PAST67 · sector 28
HEALTH84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $383.76 versus a price of $204.28, about +88% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SENEA?
Our model-based fair value for Seneca Foods Corp A is $383.76 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $204.28.
What is the quality score of SENEA?
Seneca Foods Corp A has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Seneca Foods Corp A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SENEA?
The net profit margin of Seneca Foods Corp A is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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