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Service Corporation (SCI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.9B

SC Service Corporation logo Service Corporation SCI · US
Price$83.12
Fair Value$38.27
Upside-54.0%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.4% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $27.47 – $91.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $39.27 to $38.27 (−2.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($27.47 to $91.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.32 $47.75 Fair Value $38.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $47.75 – $87.32 · fair‑value band $27.47 – $91.45 · the $83.12 price screens above the $38.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Service Corporation (SCI) currently trades at $83.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.27, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Service Corporation generated revenue of $4.3B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.1%. Net debt stands at $4.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.47 (bear case) to $91.45 (bull case); at $83.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -54%, SCI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.14 $27.12 $51.75 80
Residual Income $27.15 $37.81 $293.39 76
Rev-Margin DCF $10.51 $26.09 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.92 $27.33 $55.14 38
Owner Earnings $8.85 $28.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.91 $26.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.62 $60.62 $101.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.77 $46.62 $76.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit $12.53 $28.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.97 $46.87 $82.87 37
10Y P/E Exit $13.06 $37.39 $64.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.74 $64.14 $82.78 54
PEG = 1.0 $11.26 $16.09 $20.91 46
EPV $19.25 $28.30 $36.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.22 $21.61 $33.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.22 $18.22 $24.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $64.89 $86.52 $108.15 63
P/S Multiple $28.11 $37.48 $46.85 58
P/B Multiple $35.62 $47.50 $59.37 55
EV/EBIT $60.22 $91.98 $123.75 53
EV/EBITDA $43.85 $70.16 $96.47 54
EV/Revenue $2.40 $13.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.94 $7.96 $11.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.14 $27.12 $51.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF $10.51 $26.09 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.15 $37.81 $293.39 76
ROIC Compounder $20.39 $33.28 $48.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $49.24 $70.35 $91.45 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($70.35) versus Asset-Based ($7.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 12.4%
Return on equity 33.1%
Free cash flow $554M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.2
More key figures
Operating margin 22.1%
EPS (TTM) $3.75
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.0%
Net debt $4.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Service Corporation International provides deathcare products and services in the United States and Canada. Its funeral service and cemetery operations comprise funeral service locations, cemeteries, funeral service/cemetery combination locations, crematoria, and other businesses.

Full company description

Service Corporation International provides deathcare products and services in the United States and Canada. Its funeral service and cemetery operations comprise funeral service locations, cemeteries, funeral service/cemetery combination locations, crematoria, and other businesses. The company also provides professional services related to funerals and cremations, including the use of funeral home facilities and motor vehicles, arranging and directing services, removal, preparation, embalming, cremation, memorialization, and travel protection, as well as catering services. In addition, it offers funeral merchandise, including burial caskets and related accessories, urns and other cremation receptacles, outer burial containers, flowers, online and video tributes, stationery products, casket and cremation memorialization products, and other ancillary merchandise. Further, the company's cemeteries provide cemetery property interment rights, such as developed lots, lawn crypts, mausoleum spaces, and cremation niches; custom inventory, including private mausoleums, family estates, and exclusive cremation memorialization options; and Cemetery merchandise and services, such as memorial cemetery markers and bases, outer burial containers, flowers and floral placement, other ancillary merchandise, graveside services, merchandise installation, and interments. It offers its products and services under the Dignity Memorial, Dignity Planning, National Cremation Society, Advantage Funeral and Cremation Services, Funeraria del Angel, Making Everlasting Memories, Neptune Society, and Trident Society brand names. Service Corporation International was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Service Corporation reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $4.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $543M in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.3B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 $4.1B
FY22 $4.1B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $4.3B
Net income −9.3%/yr
FY21 $803M
FY22 $565M
FY23 $537M
FY24 $519M
FY25 $543M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.7 pp

of which total revenue +3.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.9 pp

EBIT margin +2.2 pp
Tax rate +4.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SCI screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Rollins, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Service Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Personal Services · 43 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.10× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.57× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 11 · sector 27
PAST 100 · sector 29
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Rollins, Inc ROL $36.52 $21.11 -42%
Frontdoor, Inc FTDR $85.51 $73.81 -14%
H&R Block, Inc HRB $54.18 $78.30 +45%
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM $71.52 $62.41 -13%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 HK$2.64 HK$4.20 +59%
Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 49.35 TWD 31.33 TWD -37%
Carriage Services, Inc CSV $33.69 $27.81 -17%
Musti Group MUSTI €15.05 €14.08 -6%
Uniao Pet Participacoes S.A AUAU3 R$3.32 R$1.20 -64%
Propel Funeral Partners Limited PFP A$3.29 A$3.25 -1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Service Corporation (SCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.27 versus a price of $83.12, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCI?
Our model-based fair value for Service Corporation is $38.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $83.12.
What is the quality score of SCI?
Service Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Service Corporation (SCI)?
Service Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCI?
The net profit margin of Service Corporation is about 12.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Service Corporation pay a dividend?
Service Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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