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Propel Funeral Partners Ltd (PFP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$442M (≈ $318M) · ISIN AU000000PFP8

What is Propel Funeral Partners Ltd really worth?

PF Propel Funeral Partners Ltd PFP · AU
PriceA$3.19
Fair ValueA$3.25
Upside+1.9%
Quality33/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of A$3.25.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.2 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Weak on future: 16 out of 100
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100

For context

·4.55% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range A$1.98 – A$4.07

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price −2.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$1.98 to A$4.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$5.83 A$2.93 Fair Value A$3.25 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$2.93 – A$5.83 · fair‑value band A$1.98 – A$4.07 · the A$3.19 price screens below the A$3.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Propel Funeral Partners Ltd (PFP) currently trades at A$3.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.25, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$6.87 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$3.19 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$1.20, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Propel Funeral Partners Ltd generated revenue of A$229M at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at A$163M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$1.98 (bear case) to A$4.07 (bull case); at A$3.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 2%, PFP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.0050 per share, which is 0.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV A$0.9700 A$1.20 A$1.40 74
Residual Income A$1.89 A$1.90 A$1.76 74
FCF DCF A$0.6400 A$1.29 A$3.22 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.6400 A$1.29 A$3.22 70
Owner Earnings A$0.1900 A$1.23 A$3.15 64
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.6900 A$1.81 A$4.14 63
5Y EBITDA Exit A$2.12 A$4.69 A$9.74 67
5Y P/E Exit A$1.36 A$4.17 A$8.01 63
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.6300 A$2.36 A$3.47 62
10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.64 A$5.16 A$11.50 60
10Y P/E Exit A$1.13 A$3.67 A$7.91 56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$1.01 A$7.01 A$9.84 61
Lynch FV A$3.62 A$5.17 A$6.73 59
PEG = 1.0 A$3.62 A$5.17 A$6.73 55
EPV A$0.9700 A$1.20 A$1.40 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$2.44 A$3.25 A$4.07 63
P/S Multiple A$1.47 A$1.96 A$2.44 58
P/B Multiple A$1.89 A$2.51 A$3.14 55
EV/EBIT A$2.99 A$4.25 A$5.51 65
EV/EBITDA A$2.77 A$3.94 A$5.12 67
EV/Revenue A$0.6000 A$1.18 A$1.77 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.29 A$1.72 A$2.57 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.5500 A$1.51 A$3.02 70
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8500 A$2.17 A$4.94 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$1.89 A$1.90 A$1.76 74
ROIC Compounder A$0.9700 A$1.20 A$1.40 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$4.81 A$6.87 A$8.93 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$6.87) versus Economic Profit (A$1.20). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.3
P/S ratio 1.93 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) A$0.1500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3
Dividend yield 4.5% payout 96.7%
Net margin 9.1% FY2025
Return on equity 6.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$229M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1% 3y avg +15.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow A$14.3M FY2025
Net debt A$163M FY2025 · ≈ 11.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Propel Funeral Partners Limited provides death care services in Australia and New Zealand. The company is involved in the collection and transfer of the deceased; provision of mortuary services; and arrangement and conducting a funeral, cremation, burial, and memorialization activities.

Full company description

Propel Funeral Partners Limited provides death care services in Australia and New Zealand. The company is involved in the collection and transfer of the deceased; provision of mortuary services; and arrangement and conducting a funeral, cremation, burial, and memorialization activities. The company also owns and operates funeral homes, cremation facilities, cemeteries, and related infrastructure. It serves individuals and families dealing with or preparing for death and bereavement. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Propel Funeral Partners Ltd reported revenue of A$225M in FY2025 versus A$120M in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$20.4M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$225M
Latest YoY
+7.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+90.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+9.6% (5.1 + 4.5)
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY21 A$120M
FY22 A$145M
FY23 A$168M
FY24 A$209M
FY25 A$225M
Net income +9.0%/yr
FY21 A$14.4M
FY22 −A$318K
FY23 A$19.0M
FY24 A$17.8M
FY25 A$20.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +25.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +30.7 %

of which total revenue +34.0 % · buybacks/dilution −2.5 %

EBIT margin −2.3 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Propel Funeral Partners Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PFP

Peer Group

Personal Services · 39 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE36 · sector 17
FUTURE16 · sector 21
PAST24 · sector 34
HEALTH84 · sector 91
DIVIDEND91 · sector 64

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Rollins, Inc ROL $35.94 $21.11 −41%
Service Corporation SCI $81.43 $38.27 −53%
Frontdoor, Inc FTDR $82.59 $73.81 −11%
H&R Block, Inc HRB $52.67 $78.30 +49%
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM $70.29 $62.41 −11%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 HK$2.64 HK$4.22 +60%
CEWE Stiftung & Co CWC €96.00 €157.28 +64%
Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 51.20 TWD 31.33 TWD −39%
Carriage Services, Inc CSV $34.26 $27.81 −19%
Musti Group MUSTI €15.10 €14.08 −7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Propel Funeral Partners Ltd (PFP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.25 versus a price of A$3.19, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PFP?
Our model-based fair value for Propel Funeral Partners Ltd is A$3.25 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.19.
What is the quality score of PFP?
Propel Funeral Partners Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Propel Funeral Partners Ltd (PFP)?
Propel Funeral Partners Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$229M (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PFP?
The net profit margin of Propel Funeral Partners Ltd is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Propel Funeral Partners Ltd pay a dividend?
Propel Funeral Partners Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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