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Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc (BFAM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.9B · ISIN US1091941005

What is Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc really worth?

BH Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc logo Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM · US
Price$71.09
Fair Value$62.41
Upside−12.2%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of $62.41.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $42.23 – $85.57

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($42.23 to $85.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$169.73 $55.75 Fair Value $62.41 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $55.75 – $169.73 · fair‑value band $42.23 – $85.57 · the $71.09 price screens above the $62.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc (BFAM) currently trades at $71.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $62.41, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $77.82 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $71.09 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.06, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $42.23 (bear case) to $85.57 (bull case); at $71.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −12%, BFAM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.25 per share, which is 3.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $45.21 $83.10 $143.33 77
Growth DCF $45.17 $80.75 $135.80 76
EPV $29.57 $36.06 $41.66 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.21 $83.10 $143.33 77
Owner Earnings $31.67 $60.52 $106.38 73
5Y Revenue Exit $37.84 $70.35 $113.15 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $49.51 $93.51 $147.09 73
5Y P/E Exit $44.02 $82.60 $125.15 69
10Y Revenue Exit $38.46 $69.22 $113.57 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $47.37 $85.46 $140.35 66
10Y P/E Exit $43.86 $77.82 $123.03 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.96 $100.86 $137.21 64
Lynch FV $25.18 $35.98 $46.77 61
PEG = 1.0 $25.18 $35.98 $46.77 57
EPV $29.57 $36.06 $41.66 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4300 $0.8600 $1.31 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4300 $0.7500 $0.9100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $60.57 $80.76 $100.95 63
P/S Multiple $46.80 $62.41 $78.01 58
P/B Multiple $46.80 $62.41 $78.01 55
EV/EBIT $69.21 $96.13 $123.04 66
EV/EBITDA $58.27 $81.54 $104.82 67
EV/Revenue $35.30 $55.38 $75.45 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.73 $17.06 $25.46 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.17 $80.75 $135.80 76
Rev-Margin DCF $37.84 $70.02 $109.87 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.66 $32.44 $97.71 65
ROIC Compounder $31.15 $44.13 $61.73 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $45.18 $64.54 $83.90 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($77.82) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.4
P/S ratio 1.41 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.32 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 1.7%
Net margin 6.6% FY2025
Return on equity 15.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.0% 3y avg +13.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $256M FY2025
Net debt $1.6B FY2025 · ≈ 6.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. provides early education and childcare, comprehensive back-up care, educational advisory, and other workplace solutions services for employers and families in the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, and India.

Full company description

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. provides early education and childcare, comprehensive back-up care, educational advisory, and other workplace solutions services for employers and families in the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, and India. It operates in three segments: Full-Service Center-Based Child Care, Back-Up Care, and Educational Advisory services. The Full-Service Center-Based Child Care segment offers traditional center-based early education and childcare, preschool, and elementary education services. The Back-Up Care segment provides center-based back-up childcare, in-home child and senior care, school-age programs, camps, tutoring, pet care, and self-sourced reimbursed care services, as well as sittercity, an online marketplace for families and caregivers through early education and childcare centers, school-age programs and in-home care providers, the back-up care network, and other providers. The Educational Advisory services segment offers tuition assistance and student loan repayment program management, workforce education, and related educational consulting services, as well as college admissions and college financial advisory services. The company was formerly known as Bright Horizons Solutions Corp. and changed its name to Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. in July 2012. Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $193M in FY2025, compounding +28.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.9B
Latest YoY
+9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+25.3% (25.2 + 0.1)
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $2.0B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $2.9B
Net income +28.7%/yr
FY21 $70.5M
FY22 $80.6M
FY23 $74.0M
FY24 $140M
FY25 $193M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.1 %

of which total revenue +7.0 % · buybacks/dilution +1.0 %

EBIT margin −3.0 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BFAM screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Rollins, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BFAM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Personal Services · 39 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.76× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE17 · sector 17
FUTURE35 · sector 21
PAST61 · sector 34
HEALTH72 · sector 91
DIVIDEND2 · sector 64

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Rollins, Inc ROL $35.94 $21.11 −41%
Service Corporation SCI $81.43 $38.27 −53%
Frontdoor, Inc FTDR $82.59 $73.81 −11%
H&R Block, Inc HRB $52.67 $78.30 +49%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 HK$2.64 HK$4.22 +60%
CEWE Stiftung & Co CWC €96.00 €157.28 +64%
Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 51.20 TWD 31.33 TWD −39%
Carriage Services, Inc CSV $34.26 $27.81 −19%
Musti Group MUSTI €15.10 €14.08 −7%
Propel Funeral Partners Limited PFP A$3.28 A$3.25 −1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc (BFAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $62.41 versus a price of $71.09, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BFAM?
Our model-based fair value for Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc is $62.41 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $71.09.
What is the quality score of BFAM?
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc (BFAM)?
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BFAM?
The net profit margin of Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc pay a dividend?
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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