Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Schindler Holding AG stock CHF 184, price CHF 287, upside -35.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 136.31 – CHF 292.89 · fair‑value band CHF 138.17 – CHF 230.28 · the CHF 286.50 price screens above the CHF 184.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide.
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It offers Schindler PORT, a transit management system; CleanMobility solutions; Schindler R.I.S.E, a robotic installation system; Schindler MetaCore which enables buildings to be repurposed and their functionality to be reconfigured; Schindler CLIMB Lift, a self-climbing system; Schindler X8; Digital Twin; and BuildingMinds, a cloud based SaaS platform that lets users monitor the performance of a real estate portfolio.
In addition, the company provides digital services; and Building Information Modeling which provides traceability and insights throughout the project life cycle, including planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance.
The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Hergiswil, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) currently trades at CHF 286.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 184.22, 35.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 186.82 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 286.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at CHF 62.80, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 138.17 (bear) to CHF 230.28 (bull), the price of CHF 286.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Schindler Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 10.9B in FY2025 versus CHF 11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 33.1B Large · P/E ratio 28.2 · P/S ratio 3.07 · EPS (TTM) CHF 9.37 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 23.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −36%, SCHN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearCHF 138.17Fair Value CHF 184.22BullCHF 230.28
Price CHF 286.50 · Upside -35.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 2.72 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.2% vs 2.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.6% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (55 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Stronger modernization and service work supports record margins, yet modest revenue growth leaves profitability dependent on gradual volume recovery.
Main risk: Persistent weakness in new installation volumes would hit the company's ability to sustain elevated margins through the service mix.
Schindler keeps lifting margins to a record 13.2 percent in the first half through stronger modernization and service work that offsets weakness in new installations. Revenue growth stayed modest at 1.4 percent in local currencies, so the second half must accelerate to meet the confirmed full-year target. Will the higher-margin mix deliver enough to sustain profitability if volume recovery stays gradual?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−35.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)23.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)13.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)28.2× · Pricier than median
P/B6.56× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.07× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow24.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA19.7× · Pricier than median
PEG3.37× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)92· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)42· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Schindler Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCHN
Frequently asked questions
Is Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 184.22 versus a price of CHF 286.50, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCHN?
Our model-based fair value for Schindler Holding AG is CHF 184.22 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 286.50.
What is the quality score of SCHN?
Schindler Holding AG has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 184.22 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 138.17, optimistic scenario CHF 230.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Schindler Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 184.22, about −36% upside versus a price of CHF 286.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 138.17, optimistic scenario CHF 230.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Schindler Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 10.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does Schindler Holding AG pay a dividend?
Schindler Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Schindler Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by +7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCHN use?
Our models discount Schindler Holding AG at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.79, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Schindler Holding AG that is +7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Schindler Holding AG grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Schindler Holding AG (+7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.17 %: that much free cash flow Schindler Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Schindler Holding AG it is CHF 184.22 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of CHF 286.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Schindler Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, SCHN trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 286.50, fair value CHF 184.22, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCHN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 286.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 184.22). For Schindler Holding AG the two are CHF 102.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Schindler Holding AG worth?
The market values Schindler Holding AG at about CHF 33.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is CHF 286.50; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 184.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCHN?
Our models span a range for Schindler Holding AG: cautious scenario CHF 138.17, base CHF 184.22, optimistic CHF 230.28 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price CHF 286.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCHN?
Schindler Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 184.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.4, P/B 6.6, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 19.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SCHN?
The PEG ratio of Schindler Holding AG is 3.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Schindler Holding AG (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 23.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCHN from its 52-week high?
Schindler Holding AG trades at CHF 286.50, about 1% below its 52-week high of CHF 290.44 and 19% above the low of CHF 241.00 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 184.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Schindler Holding AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Schindler Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price CHF 286.50, calculated fair value CHF 184.22 (−36%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCHN calculated?
We run Schindler Holding AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 184.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Schindler Holding AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was CHF 286.50. Our model-based fair value is CHF 184.22, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Schindler Holding AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 230.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) come from?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding AG grew +2.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin −0.4 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Schindler Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The market capitalisation of Schindler Holding AG is CHF 33.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Schindler Holding AG is 3.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding AG are CHF 9.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The dividend yield of Schindler Holding AG is 2.1% (payout 64.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The net margin of Schindler Holding AG is 9.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Schindler Holding AG is 23.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Schindler Holding AG is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
The operating margin of Schindler Holding AG is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Revenue at Schindler Holding AG is growing −0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Schindler Holding AG (SCHN)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding AG are growing +2.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Schindler Holding AG (SCHN) hold?
Schindler Holding AG holds more cash than debt, CHF 1.6B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 22, 2026