Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $76.2B · ISIN US2910111044
What is Emerson Electric Company really worth?
A solid business, but trading 157% above our fair value of $58.44.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −5.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($81.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($37.18 to $81.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $67.93 – $164.38 · fair‑value band $37.18 – $81.44 · the $150.21 price screens above the $58.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Emerson Electric Company (EMR) currently trades at $150.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $58.44, implying the stock looks roughly 157.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $69.60 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $150.21 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $24.26, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Emerson Electric Company generated revenue of $18.3B at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at $12.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.18 (bear case) to $81.44 (bull case); at $150.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −61%, EMR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.00 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($69.60) versus Asset-Based ($24.26). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Emerson Electric Co., a technology and software company, provides various solutions in the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It operates through Final Control, Measurement & Analytical, Discrete Automation, Safety & Productivity, Control Systems & Software, and Test & Measurement segments.
Full company description
Emerson Electric Co., a technology and software company, provides various solutions in the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It operates through Final Control, Measurement & Analytical, Discrete Automation, Safety & Productivity, Control Systems & Software, and Test & Measurement segments. The Final Control segment provides control valves, isolation valves, shutoff valves, pressure relief valves, pressure safety valves, actuators, and regulators for process and hybrid industries under Anderson Greenwood, Bettis, Crosby, Fisher, Keystone, KTM, and Vanessa brands. The Measurement & Analytical segment supplies intelligent instrumentation measuring the physical properties of liquids or gases, such as pressure, temperature, level, flow, acoustics, corrosion, pH, conductivity, water quality, toxic gases, and flame under the Flexim, Micro Motion, and Rosemount brands. The Discrete Automation segment includes solenoid valves, pneumatic valves, valve position indicators, pneumatic cylinders and actuators, air preparation equipment, pressure and temperature switches, electric linear motion solutions, programmable automation control systems and software, electrical distribution equipment, and materials joining solutions used primarily in discrete industries under the Afag, Appleton, ASCO, Aventics, Branson, Movicon, PACSystems, SolaHD, TESCOM, and TopWorx brands. The Safety & Productivity segment delivers tools for professionals and homeowners that support infrastructure, promote safety, and enhance productivity under the Greenlee, Klauke, ProTeam, and RIDGID brands. The Control Systems & Software segment provides control systems and software that control plant processes by collecting and analyzing information from measurement devices in the plant under the DeltaV and Ovation brands. The Test & Measurement offers software-connected automated test and measurement systems. The company was incorporated in 1890 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Emerson Electric Company reported revenue of $18.0B in FY2025 versus $12.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3B in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.5 % · buybacks/dilution +1.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EMR screens 157% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) Outperforming Other Industrial Products Stocks This Year?
- Is It Worth Investing in Emerson Electric (EMR) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €289.85 | €139.77 | −52% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $402.78 | $168.65 | −58% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $995.02 | $398.69 | −60% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $281.67 | $145.84 | −48% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.40 | kr 193.01 | −50% |
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