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Sandvik AB (SAND) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 480B SEK (≈ $50.3B) · ISIN SE0000667891

What is Sandvik AB really worth?

SA Sandvik AB SAND · ST
Pricekr 390.10
Fair Valuekr 193.01
Upside−50.5%
Quality69/100

A solid business, but trading 102% above our fair value of kr 193.01.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100

For context

·1.54% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 125.17 – kr 268.85

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +4.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 268.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 125.17 to kr 268.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 411.80 kr 132.65 Fair Value kr 193.01 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 132.65 – kr 411.80 · fair‑value band kr 125.17 – kr 268.85 · the kr 390.10 price screens above the kr 193.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Sandvik AB (SAND) currently trades at kr 390.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 193.01, implying the stock looks roughly 102.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 204.05 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 390.10 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 49.76, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sandvik AB generated revenue of 122B SEK at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 32.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 125.17 (bear case) to kr 268.85 (bull case); at kr 390.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −51%, SAND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 3.92 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 125.74 kr 194.16 kr 296.71 79
Growth DCF kr 130.58 kr 194.78 kr 287.06 78
Owner Earnings kr 145.34 kr 223.09 kr 339.61 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 125.74 kr 194.16 kr 296.71 79
Owner Earnings kr 145.34 kr 223.09 kr 339.61 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 106.16 kr 168.08 kr 243.98 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 157.36 kr 259.10 kr 372.83 75
5Y P/E Exit kr 137.26 kr 223.38 kr 309.05 70
10Y Revenue Exit kr 108.29 kr 165.81 kr 236.41 66
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 144.66 kr 228.74 kr 332.44 68
10Y P/E Exit kr 131.82 kr 204.05 kr 284.91 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 79.63 kr 185.96 kr 239.12 65
PEG = 1.0 kr 31.72 kr 45.32 kr 58.92 57
EPV kr 110.10 kr 132.73 kr 152.84 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 184.45 kr 245.93 kr 307.41 63
P/S Multiple kr 144.31 kr 192.41 kr 240.52 58
P/B Multiple kr 149.31 kr 199.09 kr 248.86 55
EV/EBIT kr 193.81 kr 264.45 kr 335.09 66
EV/EBITDA kr 201.59 kr 274.82 kr 348.05 67
EV/Revenue kr 103.12 kr 155.07 kr 207.02 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 37.14 kr 49.76 kr 74.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 130.58 kr 194.78 kr 287.06 78
Rev-Margin DCF kr 106.16 kr 169.68 kr 237.88 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 80.49 kr 105.51 kr 321.15 65
ROIC Compounder kr 114.77 kr 147.74 kr 185.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 139.35 kr 199.07 kr 258.79 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 204.05) versus Asset-Based (kr 49.76). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.0
P/S ratio 4.02 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 11.81 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0
Dividend yield 1.5% payout 50.8%
Net margin 12.2% FY2025
Return on equity 15.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 122B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7% 3y avg +2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 16.1B SEK FY2025
Net debt 32.2B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sandvik AB (publ), an engineering company, provides products and solutions for mining and rock excavation, metal cutting, and materials technology worldwide.

Full company description

Sandvik AB (publ), an engineering company, provides products and solutions for mining and rock excavation, metal cutting, and materials technology worldwide. The company offers mining and rock excavation equipment, including drill rigs and bolters, underground loaders and trucks, mechanical cutting equipment, rock tools and rock drills, and mining automation; rock processing equipment, such as crushers, screens, hydraulic breakers, demolition tools, and breaker booms. It provides cutting tools and tooling systems, and digital solutions and software; metal powder for additive manufacturing, and products made from controlled expansion alloys; and tungsten powders, as well as recycling services of secondary tungsten raw materials. It serves aerospace, automotive, mining, general engineering, infrastructure, and other industries. Sandvik AB (publ) was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sandvik AB reported revenue of 121B SEK in FY2025 versus 99.1B SEK in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 14.7B SEK in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
121B SEK
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.5% (11.0 + 1.5)
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 99.1B SEK
FY22 112B SEK
FY23 127B SEK
FY24 123B SEK
FY25 121B SEK
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 14.5B SEK
FY22 11.2B SEK
FY23 15.3B SEK
FY24 12.2B SEK
FY25 14.7B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.2 %

of which total revenue +4.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +4.6 %
Tax rate +1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SAND screens 102% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sandvik AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAND

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.47× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE24 · sector 21
PAST61 · sector 28
HEALTH85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND31 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $281.67 $145.84 −48%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sandvik AB (SAND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 193.01 versus a price of kr 390.10, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAND?
Our model-based fair value for Sandvik AB is kr 193.01 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 390.10.
What is the quality score of SAND?
Sandvik AB has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sandvik AB (SAND)?
Sandvik AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 122B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAND?
The net profit margin of Sandvik AB is about 12.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sandvik AB pay a dividend?
Sandvik AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
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