GE Vernova Inc (GEV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GE Vernova Inc stock $143, price $827, upside -82.8%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range $122.18 – $1,175 · fair‑value band $115.26 – $248.94 · the $827.42 price screens above the $142.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
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GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.
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The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment designs, manufactures, and services gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies. It serves industrial, government, and other customers.
The Wind segment offers wind generation technologies, including onshore and offshore wind turbines and blades.
The Electrification segment provides grid solutions; power conversion; electrification software; and solar and storage solutions technologies required for the transmission, distribution, conversion, storage, and orchestration of electricity from point of generation to point of consumption.
The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
GE Vernova Inc (GEV) currently trades at $827.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $142.61, 82.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $348.65 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $827.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $15.12, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $115.26 (bear) to $248.94 (bull), the price of $827.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GE Vernova Inc reported revenue of $38.1B in FY2025 versus $33.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $225B Mega · P/E ratio 23.7 · P/S ratio 6.04 · EPS (TTM) $34.88 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 23.0% · Return on equity 82.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 71 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −83%, GEV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($15.12 to $571.68). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$115.26Fair Value $142.61Bull$248.94
Price $827.42 · Upside -82.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($26.87 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.7% (2021) → 3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.5% a year for the price and +11.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Strong order momentum from data center electrification and an expanding installed base support a path to higher-margin service contracts, yet spin-off uncertainty and large project execution risks limit durability.
Main risk: Large project execution failures or manufacturing ramp-up delays would hinder the shift to higher-margin long-term service contracts and reduce revenue predictability.
GE Vernova sees strong order momentum from data center electrification needs, yet those applications still account for only about one-fifth of its gas power backlog amid wider utility and industrial demand. The expanding installed base opens a path to higher-margin long-term service contracts, but large project execution and manufacturing ramp-up remain key variables. Will the recurring revenue stream from recent bookings prove more durable than the cyclical swings in new equipment orders?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−84.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)82.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)23.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)7.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)21.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B22.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)6.04× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow67.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA61.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.86× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GE Vernova Inc (GEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $142.61 versus a price of $827.42, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEV?
Our model-based fair value for GE Vernova Inc is $142.61 (as of Oct 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $827.42.
What is the quality score of GEV?
GE Vernova Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $142.61 (as of Oct 20, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $115.26, optimistic scenario $248.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GE Vernova Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $142.61, about −83% upside versus a price of $827.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $115.26, optimistic scenario $248.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
GE Vernova Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $41.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 20, 2026).
Does GE Vernova Inc pay a dividend?
GE Vernova Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 20, 2026).
What growth is priced into GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GE Vernova Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +26.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Oct 20, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEV use?
Our models discount GE Vernova Inc at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GE Vernova Inc that is +26.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GE Vernova Inc (GEV) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at GE Vernova Inc grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +26.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GE Vernova Inc (GEV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GE Vernova Inc (+26.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.66 %: that much free cash flow GE Vernova Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GE Vernova Inc it is $142.61 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026), against a price of $827.42. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GE Vernova Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 20, 2026, GEV trades above its calculated fair value: price $827.42, fair value $142.61, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($827.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($142.61). For GE Vernova Inc the two are $684.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GE Vernova Inc worth?
The market values GE Vernova Inc at about $225B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 20, 2026). Per share that is $827.42; our models calculate a fair value of $142.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEV?
Our models span a range for GE Vernova Inc: cautious scenario $115.26, base $142.61, optimistic $248.94 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026, price $827.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GEV?
GE Vernova Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Oct 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $142.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 22.4, P/S 6.0, EV/EBITDA 61.5.
What is the PEG ratio of GEV?
The PEG ratio of GE Vernova Inc is 1.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 20, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Balance-sheet figures for GE Vernova Inc (as of Oct 20, 2026): return on equity 82.6%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEV from its 52-week high?
GE Vernova Inc trades at $827.42, about 30% below its 52-week high of $1,175 and 51% above the low of $546.95 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $142.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GE Vernova Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, Emerson Electric Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GE Vernova Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 20, 2026: price $827.42, calculated fair value $142.61 (−83%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEV calculated?
We run GE Vernova Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $142.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. GE Vernova Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was $827.42. Our model-based fair value is $142.61, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GE Vernova Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($248.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($115.26 to $248.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GE Vernova Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The market capitalisation of GE Vernova Inc is $225B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GE Vernova Inc is 6.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Earnings per share at GE Vernova Inc are $34.88 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The dividend yield of GE Vernova Inc is 0.2% (payout 5.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The net margin of GE Vernova Inc is 23.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GE Vernova Inc is 82.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GE Vernova Inc is −1.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
The operating margin of GE Vernova Inc is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Revenue at GE Vernova Inc is growing +21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
Earnings per share at GE Vernova Inc are growing +32.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does GE Vernova Inc (GEV) hold?
GE Vernova Inc holds more cash than debt, $8.8B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 20, 2026