SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DE · Market cap €2.1B · ISIN DE000A0DJ6J9
What is SMA Solar Technology AG really worth?
A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of €48.74.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€34.56 to €62.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.15 – €108.17 · fair‑value band €34.56 – €62.93 · the €56.65 price screens above the €48.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) currently trades at €56.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €48.74, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €56.03 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the €56.65 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €7.06, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, SMA Solar Technology AG generated revenue of €1.5B at a net margin of −12.3%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −40.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €50.8M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €34.56 (bear case) to €62.93 (bull case); at €56.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 268% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −14%, S92 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€56.03) versus Asset-Based (€7.06). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SMA Solar Technology AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells PV and battery inverters, monitoring systems for PV systems, and charging solutions for electric vehicles in Germany and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Home & Business Solutions and Large Scale & Project Solutions.
Full company description
SMA Solar Technology AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells PV and battery inverters, monitoring systems for PV systems, and charging solutions for electric vehicles in Germany and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Home & Business Solutions and Large Scale & Project Solutions. It offers solar and battery inverters, hybrid inverters, system solutions and packages, solar batteries, e-mobility charging solutions, energy management solutions, SMA echarger and commercial storage solutions, and Sunny Tripower X, as well as digital solutions to design, operate, and service PV systems and energy systems. The company serves electric utility companies, independent power producers, project developers and institutional investors, EPCs, system integrators, and grid operators, as well as energy-intensive industries. The company was formerly known as SMA Technologie AG and changed its name to SMA Solar Technology AG in June 2008. SMA Solar Technology AG was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Niestetal, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SMA Solar Technology AG reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €984M in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€181M in FY2025.
S92 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Peer Group
Solar · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $210.10 | $392.12 | +87% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $103.67 | $69.61 | −33% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,624 | ₹2,709 | +3% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥12.89 | ¥12.13 | −6% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.16 | ¥6.47 | +56% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $39.25 | $24.15 | −38% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.28 | ¥6.76 | −34% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.53 | ¥31.86 | +48% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,017 | ₹648.94 | −36% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.77 | ¥7.97 | −38% |
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