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Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $17.1B · ISIN US65290E1010

What is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock really worth?

NI Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock logo Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock NXT · US
Price$83.50
Fair Value$69.61
Upside−16.6%
Quality67/100

A solid business, but trading 20% above our fair value of $69.61.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +24.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 16.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 75/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on valuation: 11 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $51.07 – $132.11

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −15.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($51.07 to $132.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$156.40 $28.55 Fair Value $69.61 Feb 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range $28.55 – $156.40 · fair‑value band $51.07 – $132.11 · the $83.50 price screens above the $69.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) currently trades at $83.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.61, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $115.66 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $83.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.31, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.07 (bear case) to $132.11 (bull case); at $83.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −17%, NXT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.64 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $62.86 $95.62 $199.32 76
Growth DCF $59.54 $105.62 $198.47 75
EPV $42.02 $47.98 $53.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $62.86 $95.62 $199.32 76
Owner Earnings $65.44 $140.93 $299.40 71
5Y Revenue Exit $44.70 $72.97 $129.83 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $55.76 $96.05 $172.32 72
5Y P/E Exit $66.04 $136.92 $231.22 68
10Y Revenue Exit $48.60 $91.98 $128.60 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $57.81 $114.40 $220.01 64
10Y P/E Exit $65.19 $135.25 $260.17 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.27 $183.21 $257.10 63
Lynch FV $61.44 $87.77 $114.11 61
PEG = 1.0 $61.44 $87.77 $114.11 57
EPV $42.02 $47.98 $53.20 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.29 $21.40 $33.95 66
DDM Multi-Stage $10.29 $18.05 $22.46 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $60.85 $81.13 $101.41 63
P/S Multiple $35.21 $46.94 $58.68 58
P/B Multiple $49.26 $65.68 $82.10 55
EV/EBIT $64.89 $84.43 $103.97 66
EV/EBITDA $53.07 $68.67 $84.26 67
EV/Revenue $35.84 $48.52 $61.19 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.70 $10.31 $15.39 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $59.54 $105.62 $198.47 75
Rev-Margin DCF $44.70 $81.91 $139.56 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.32 $35.70 $211.65 64
ROIC Compounder $49.74 $67.12 $90.30 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $80.96 $115.66 $150.36 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($115.66) versus Asset-Based ($10.31). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.5
P/S ratio 3.53 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.84 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.5
Dividend yield 0.8% payout 16.6%
Net margin 16.5% FY2026
Return on equity 29.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.7% 3y avg +23.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −7.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $512M FY2026
Net cash $1.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally. It offers tracking solutions, including NX Horizon, a solar tracking solution; NX Horizon-XTR, a terrain-following tracker to expand the addressable market for trackers on sites with sloped, uneven, and challenging terrain; NX Horizon Hail Pro adds automatic stowing using weather service information; and NX Horizon Low Carbon, a solar tracker solution with a reduced carbon footprint. The company also provides TrueCapture, an energy yield management system that addresses power production shortfalls; NX Anchor and NX Earth Truss, a solar foundation technology to facilitate solar project development in challenging soil conditions; Truss Driver, an advanced installation equipment; and NX Navigator, which assists solar power plant owners and operators in monitoring, controlling, and protecting their solar projects. It serves engineering, procurement, and construction firms, as well as solar project developers and owners. The company was formerly known as Nextracker Inc. and changed its name to Nextpower Inc. in November 2025. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2026 versus $1.5B in FY2022, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was $586M in FY2026, compounding +84.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$3.6B
Latest YoY
+20.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.4% (4.6 + 0.8)
Revenue +25.0%/yr
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.9B
FY24 $2.5B
FY25 $3.0B
FY26 $3.6B
Net income +84.2%/yr
FY22 $50.9M
FY23 $119M
FY24 $306M
FY25 $509M
FY26 $586M

NXT screens 20% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Solar · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 33.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE11 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 0
HEALTH97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND15 · sector 29

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $210.10 $392.12 +87%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,624 ₹2,709 +3%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥12.89 ¥12.13 −6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.16 ¥6.47 +56%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $39.25 $24.15 −38%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.28 ¥6.76 −34%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.53 ¥31.86 +48%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,017 ₹648.94 −36%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.77 ¥7.97 −38%
JA Solar Technology Co 002459 ¥6.81 ¥3.32 −51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.61 versus a price of $83.50, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXT?
Our model-based fair value for Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is $69.61 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $83.50.
What is the quality score of NXT?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NXT?
The net profit margin of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is about 16.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock pay a dividend?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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