First Solar, Inc (FSLR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $24.5B
First Solar, Inc
FSLR · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $284.45 to $392.12 (+37.9%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 75% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($224.18 to $484.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $61.40 – $318.25 · fair‑value band $224.18 – $484.78 · the $223.69 price screens below the $392.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
First Solar, Inc (FSLR) currently trades at $223.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $392.12, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, First Solar, Inc generated revenue of $5.4B at a net margin of 30.7%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $224.18 (bear case) to $484.78 (bull case); at $223.69, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 75%, FSLR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($470.72) versus Asset-Based ($59.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
First Solar, Inc., a solar technology company, provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United States, France, India, Chile, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells PV solar modules with thin film semiconductor technology that provides conventional crystalline silicon PV solar modules.
Full company description
First Solar, Inc., a solar technology company, provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United States, France, India, Chile, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells PV solar modules with thin film semiconductor technology that provides conventional crystalline silicon PV solar modules. It also designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that convert sunlight into electricity. The company serves system developers, independent power producers, utilities, commercial and industrial companies, large corporate energy buyers, and other system owners and operators. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
First Solar, Inc reported revenue of $5.2B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding +34.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch FSLR: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Tariff That Helps First Solar And Hurts Everyone Else
- First Solar raised at Baird as Section 232 clears path for bookings
- First Solar Stock: Analyst Estimates & Ratings
- FSLR Investors Have Opportunity to Lead First Solar, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law
Peer Group
Solar · 116 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $103.67 | $69.61 | -33% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,668 | ₹2,709 | +2% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥12.89 | ¥12.13 | -6% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.52 | ¥6.47 | +43% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $40.77 | $24.15 | -41% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.28 | ¥6.76 | -34% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥22.35 | ¥31.86 | +43% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥13.64 | ¥7.97 | -42% |
| JA Solar Technology Co 002459 | ¥7.94 | ¥3.32 | -58% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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