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CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A (688472) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 37.8B CNY (≈ $5.6B) · ISIN CNE100006KH6

What is CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A really worth?

CS CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A 688472 · SHG
Price¥8.78
Fair Value¥6.76
Upside−23.0%
Quality34/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 30% above our fair value of ¥6.76.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y −5.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 23 out of 100

For context

·1.13% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥4.86 – ¥9.44

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −16.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.86 to ¥9.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥23.75 ¥8.27 Fair Value ¥6.76 Jun 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range ¥8.27 – ¥23.75 · fair‑value band ¥4.86 – ¥9.44 · the ¥8.78 price screens above the ¥6.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A (688472) currently trades at ¥8.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.76, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥5.86 per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥8.78 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥2.18, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A generated revenue of 38.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.86 (bear case) to ¥9.44 (bull case); at ¥8.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −23%, 688472 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2113 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥1.88 ¥2.15 ¥2.66 79
Growth DCF ¥1.91 ¥2.18 ¥2.64 77
Residual Income ¥4.88 ¥4.94 ¥4.62 73
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥1.88 ¥2.15 ¥2.66 79
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.31 ¥8.15 ¥12.30 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.51 ¥17.17 ¥25.97 71
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.76 ¥5.46 ¥7.49 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.77 ¥5.77 ¥8.00 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.11 ¥11.35 ¥16.03 65
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.01 ¥4.11 ¥5.19 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.90 ¥2.32 ¥2.61 65
EPV ¥6.84 ¥7.78 ¥8.61 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.19 ¥2.40 ¥2.72 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.19 ¥2.75 ¥3.54 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.39 ¥5.86 ¥7.32 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.55 ¥4.74 ¥5.92 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.55 ¥4.74 ¥5.92 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.77 ¥13.97 ¥17.17 66
EV/EBITDA ¥18.42 ¥24.16 ¥29.91 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.02 ¥10.96 ¥13.89 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.21 ¥4.30 ¥6.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.91 ¥2.18 ¥2.64 77
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.88 ¥4.94 ¥4.62 73
ROIC Compounder ¥6.84 ¥7.95 ¥9.17 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.10 ¥4.43 ¥5.76 65

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.86) versus Growth DCF (¥2.18). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.4
P/S ratio 0.54 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4
Dividend yield 1.1% payout 24.1%
Net margin 2.5% FY2025
Return on equity 6.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 21.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 38.8B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −17.0% 3y avg −5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 263M CNY FY2025
Net debt 2.1B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 8.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CSI Solar Co., Ltd. designs, processes, produces, and sells solar modules and photovoltaic systems in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Components Business, Energy Business, and Energy Storage Business segments.

Full company description

CSI Solar Co., Ltd. designs, processes, produces, and sells solar modules and photovoltaic systems in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Components Business, Energy Business, and Energy Storage Business segments. The company offers crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules, solar system kits, inverters, and solar energy and battery energy storage systems, as well as components, silicon rods, batteries, and battery cells. It also engages in solar power and battery energy storage projects; and construction of solar power plants. In addition, the company provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It serves the utility, commercial, residential, and industrial sectors. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China. CSI Solar Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Canadian Solar Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 40.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 28.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +132.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
40.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−12.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+90.6% (89.5 + 1.1)
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 28.0B CNY
FY22 47.5B CNY
FY23 51.3B CNY
FY24 46.2B CNY
FY25 40.3B CNY
Net income +132.1%/yr
FY21 35.0M CNY
FY22 2.2B CNY
FY23 2.9B CNY
FY24 2.2B CNY
FY25 1.0B CNY

688472 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688472

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Solar · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −17% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.40× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE3 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST27 · sector 0
HEALTH85 · sector 85
DIVIDEND23 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $210.10 $392.12 +87%
Nextpower Inc NXT $103.67 $69.61 −33%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,624 ₹2,709 +3%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥12.89 ¥12.13 −6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.16 ¥6.47 +56%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $39.25 $24.15 −38%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.53 ¥31.86 +48%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,017 ₹648.94 −36%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.77 ¥7.97 −38%
JA Solar Technology Co 002459 ¥6.81 ¥3.32 −51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A (688472) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.76 versus a price of ¥8.78, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688472?
Our model-based fair value for CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A is ¥6.76 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.78.
What is the quality score of 688472?
CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A (688472)?
CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 38.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688472?
The net profit margin of CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
CSI Solar Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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