Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.7B · ISIN US75629V1044
What is Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc really worth?
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
RXRX · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 355% above our fair value of $0.7565.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +3.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.9520). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (15/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.5015 to $0.9520) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.84 – $41.33 · fair‑value band $0.5015 – $0.9520 · the $3.44 price screens above the $0.7565 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) currently trades at $3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7565, implying the stock looks roughly 354.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $66.4M. Revenue declined 56.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −57.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $665M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5015 (bear case) to $0.9520 (bull case); at $3.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −78%, RXRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States and the United Kingdom.
Full company description
Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company develops REC-4881, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial to treat familial adenomatous polyposis; REC-617, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat advanced solid tumors; REC-1245, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat biomarker-enriched solid tumors and lymphoma; REC-3565 that is in Phase 1/2 for the treatment of relapsed or refractory B-cell malignancies; and REC-4539, a reversible, CNS penetrant, orally bioavailable, and potential best-in-class inhibitor of LSD1 for the treatment of solid tumors and hematology oncology. Its preclinical stage product includes REC-7735 for the treatment of HR+ breast cancer; and REC-102 for the treatment of hypophosphatasia. The company has collaboration and agreement with Roche & Genentech; Sanofi; Bayer AG; Tempus; and Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited. Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $74.7M in FY2025 versus $10.0M in FY2021, a compound +65.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$645M in FY2025.
RXRX screens 355% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 622 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $547.55 | $278.78 | −49% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $807.71 | $594.40 | −26% |
| argenx SE ARGX | €877.60 | €292.84 | −67% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,518,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | −30% |
| CSL Limited CSL | A$174.50 | A$141.68 | −19% |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY | $228.61 | $51.70 | −77% |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $60.58 | $24.22 | −60% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 190,700 KRW | 74,519 KRW | −61% |
| BeOne Medicines AG ONC | $362.51 | $111.35 | −69% |
| BioNTech SE BNTX | $111.40 | $45.66 | −59% |
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