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BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $28.0B

BM BeOne Medicines AG logo BeOne Medicines AG ONC · US
Price$356.01
Fair Value$111.35
Upside-68.7%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range $83.91 – $150.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $114.29 to $111.35 (−2.6%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +16.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$403.14 $121.11 Fair Value $111.35 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $121.11 – $403.14 · fair‑value band $83.91 – $150.93 · the $356.01 price screens above the $111.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) currently trades at $356.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $111.35, implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BeOne Medicines AG generated revenue of $5.7B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 35.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $83.91 (bear case) to $150.93 (bull case); at $356.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -69%, ONC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $194.88 $349.58 $603.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF $125.65 $179.92 $294.67 74
ROIC Compounder $78.96 $100.42 $128.87 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $204.80 $300.59 $605.62 38
Owner Earnings $77.94 $129.17 $236.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit $118.20 $161.81 $251.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $132.70 $191.14 $305.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $121.18 $197.11 $295.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit $142.80 $233.16 $279.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $155.33 $264.40 $443.26 37
10Y P/E Exit $146.92 $239.59 $381.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $20.56 $143.38 $201.21 54
Lynch FV $74.08 $105.82 $137.57 50
PEG = 1.0 $74.08 $105.82 $137.57 46
EPV $69.62 $74.92 $79.57 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $49.89 $66.52 $83.15 63
P/S Multiple $38.55 $51.40 $64.25 58
P/B Multiple $38.55 $51.40 $64.25 55
EV/EBIT $97.86 $117.88 $137.90 53
EV/EBITDA $102.93 $124.65 $146.36 54
EV/Revenue $80.66 $99.03 $117.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.98 $30.79 $45.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $194.88 $349.58 $603.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF $125.65 $179.92 $294.67 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $36.82 $38.42 $40.22 61
ROIC Compounder $78.96 $100.42 $128.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $98.33 $140.47 $182.61 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($197.11) versus Asset-Based ($30.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.5%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow $942M FY2025
P/E ratio 61.0 as of Jun 22, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 16.5%
EPS (TTM) $4.43
EPS growth (YoY) +16,971%
Net cash $2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BeOne Medicines AG, an oncology company, engages in discovering and developing various treatments for cancer patients in the United States, China, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

BeOne Medicines AG, an oncology company, engages in discovering and developing various treatments for cancer patients in the United States, China, Europe, and internationally. The company's commercial stage products include BRUKINSA, a small molecule inhibitor of Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase (BTK) for the treatment of various blood cancers; TEVIMBRA, an anti-PD-1 antibody immunotherapy for the treatment of various solid tumor and blood cancers; SYLVANT for the treatment of adult patients with multicentric castleman disease; BAITUOWEI for patients with BC in premenopausal and perimenopausal women, and cancer; and PARTRUVIX for the treatment of various solid tumors. Its clinical stage products comprise Sonrotoclax BGB-11417, a small molecule Bcl-2 inhibitor; BGB-16673, a BTK targeting chimeric degradation activation compound active against wild type and mutant BTK; BG-60366, an EGFR-targeted CDAC; BG-89894 (SYH2039), a MAT2A Inhibitor; BGB-58067, an MTA-Cooperative PRMT5 Inhibitor; BG-T187 and BG-C0902, an anti-EGFRxMET trispecific antibody; BGB-26808, a HPK-1 Inhibitor; BGB-C354, an anti-B7H3 ADC; Zanidatamab, a bispecific HER2-targeted antibody; BG-C137, an anti-FGFR2b ADC; BGB-53038, a Pan-KRAS Inhibitor; BGB-B2033, an anti-GPC3x4-1BB bispecific antibody; BGB-B3227, an anti-MUC1xCD16A bispecific antibody; BG-C477, an anti-CEAADC; BGB-43395, a CDK4 Inhibitor; BG-68501, a CDK2 Inhibitor; BG-C9074, an anti-B7H4 ADC; BGB-21447, a Bcl-2 Inhibitor; and BGB-45035, an IRAK4-targeted CDAC. It also has various preclinical programs. The company has agreements Amgen, BMS, Bio-Thera, EUSA Pharma, Luye Pharmaceutical, and Novartis. The company was formerly known as BeiGene, Ltd. and changed its name to BeOne Medicines AG in May 2025. BeOne Medicines AG was founded in 2010 and is based in Basel, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BeOne Medicines AG reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +46.0%/yr. Reported net income was $287M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.3B
Latest YoY
+40.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+76.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+67.3%
Revenue +46.0%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $3.8B
FY25 $5.3B
Net income
FY21 −$1.5B
FY22 −$2.0B
FY23 −$882M
FY24 −$645M
FY25 $287M

ONC screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BeOne Medicines AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 600 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.88× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 29.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 50 · sector 0
HEALTH 89 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 317,500 KRW 39,476 KRW -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $111.35 versus a price of $356.01, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ONC?
Our model-based fair value for BeOne Medicines AG is $111.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $356.01.
What is the quality score of ONC?
BeOne Medicines AG has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BeOne Medicines AG (ONC)?
BeOne Medicines AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ONC?
The net profit margin of BeOne Medicines AG is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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