BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $28.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $114.29 to $111.35 (−2.6%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +16.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $121.11 – $403.14 · fair‑value band $83.91 – $150.93 · the $356.01 price screens above the $111.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) currently trades at $356.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $111.35, implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BeOne Medicines AG generated revenue of $5.7B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 35.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $83.91 (bear case) to $150.93 (bull case); at $356.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -69%, ONC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($197.11) versus Asset-Based ($30.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BeOne Medicines AG, an oncology company, engages in discovering and developing various treatments for cancer patients in the United States, China, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
BeOne Medicines AG, an oncology company, engages in discovering and developing various treatments for cancer patients in the United States, China, Europe, and internationally. The company's commercial stage products include BRUKINSA, a small molecule inhibitor of Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase (BTK) for the treatment of various blood cancers; TEVIMBRA, an anti-PD-1 antibody immunotherapy for the treatment of various solid tumor and blood cancers; SYLVANT for the treatment of adult patients with multicentric castleman disease; BAITUOWEI for patients with BC in premenopausal and perimenopausal women, and cancer; and PARTRUVIX for the treatment of various solid tumors. Its clinical stage products comprise Sonrotoclax BGB-11417, a small molecule Bcl-2 inhibitor; BGB-16673, a BTK targeting chimeric degradation activation compound active against wild type and mutant BTK; BG-60366, an EGFR-targeted CDAC; BG-89894 (SYH2039), a MAT2A Inhibitor; BGB-58067, an MTA-Cooperative PRMT5 Inhibitor; BG-T187 and BG-C0902, an anti-EGFRxMET trispecific antibody; BGB-26808, a HPK-1 Inhibitor; BGB-C354, an anti-B7H3 ADC; Zanidatamab, a bispecific HER2-targeted antibody; BG-C137, an anti-FGFR2b ADC; BGB-53038, a Pan-KRAS Inhibitor; BGB-B2033, an anti-GPC3x4-1BB bispecific antibody; BGB-B3227, an anti-MUC1xCD16A bispecific antibody; BG-C477, an anti-CEAADC; BGB-43395, a CDK4 Inhibitor; BG-68501, a CDK2 Inhibitor; BG-C9074, an anti-B7H4 ADC; BGB-21447, a Bcl-2 Inhibitor; and BGB-45035, an IRAK4-targeted CDAC. It also has various preclinical programs. The company has agreements Amgen, BMS, Bio-Thera, EUSA Pharma, Luye Pharmaceutical, and Novartis. The company was formerly known as BeiGene, Ltd. and changed its name to BeOne Medicines AG in May 2025. BeOne Medicines AG was founded in 2010 and is based in Basel, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BeOne Medicines AG reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +46.0%/yr. Reported net income was $287M in FY2025.
ONC screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- BeOne Medicines and Revolution Medicines Announce Clinical Development and Regional Commercialization Collaboration
- Is BeOne Medicines (ONC) Undervalued Following Its Earnings Beat And Raised Outlook?
- BeOne Medicines Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- BeOne Medicines Ltd. - Sponsored ADR (ONC) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 600 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 317,500 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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