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The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. (PHOE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · Il · Market cap 43.2B ILA · ISIN IL0007670123

What is The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. really worth?

TP The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. PHOE · TA
Price192.60 ILA
Fair Value108.01 ILA
Upside−43.9%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 78% above our fair value of 108.01 ILA.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.1 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
Evidence: High Range 81.01 ILA – 135.01 ILA

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price +11.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (135.01 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

197.50 ILA 22.18 ILA Fair Value 108.01 ILA Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 22.18 ILA – 197.50 ILA · fair‑value band 81.01 ILA – 135.01 ILA · the 192.60 ILA price screens above the 108.01 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. (PHOE) currently trades at 192.60 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 108.01 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 107.53 ILA per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 192.60 ILA price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 33.21 ILA, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. generated revenue of 19.5B ILA at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.8%. Net debt stands at 13.4B ILA. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 81.01 ILA (bear case) to 135.01 ILA (bull case); at 192.60 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −44%, PHOE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 5.24 ILS per share, which is 4.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 55.18 ILA 114.73 ILA 182.01 ILA 66
DDM Multi-Stage 55.18 ILA 96.74 ILA 120.41 ILA 66
Residual Income 83.58 ILA 107.53 ILA 505.83 ILA 64
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 55.18 ILA 114.73 ILA 182.01 ILA 66
DDM Multi-Stage 55.18 ILA 96.74 ILA 120.41 ILA 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 124.65 ILA 166.20 ILA 207.75 ILA 63
P/B Multiple 52.05 ILA 69.40 ILA 86.75 ILA 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 24.79 ILA 33.21 ILA 49.57 ILA 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 83.58 ILA 107.53 ILA 505.83 ILA 64

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (107.53 ILA) versus Asset-Based (33.21 ILA). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.5
P/S ratio 1.54 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 13.28 ILA price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5
Dividend yield 2.9% payout 41.6%
Net margin 10.6% FY2025
Return on equity 27.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 32.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 19.5B ILA TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6% 3y avg +52.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 3.9B ILA FY2025
Net debt 13.4B ILA FY2025 · ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Phoenix Financial Ltd. operates as a financial services company in Israel. Its Life and Savings segment provides life insurance policies, permanent health insurance policies, and savings policies for salaried employees planholders, individual and self-employed policyholders, and groups.

Full company description

Phoenix Financial Ltd. operates as a financial services company in Israel. Its Life and Savings segment provides life insurance policies, permanent health insurance policies, and savings policies for salaried employees planholders, individual and self-employed policyholders, and groups. The company's Property and Casualty segment offers compulsory motor insurance, motor property insurance, and other property and casualty insurance. Its Health Insurance segment offers health insurance policies that are designed to indemnify or compensate policyholders for medical expenses incurred as a result of decline in health, illness, or accident; and long-term care insurance, critical illness insurance, dental insurance, travel insurance, and personal accidents insurance. The company's Retirement segment manages various types of pension funds and provident funds; and the central provident fund for annuity for employees of the Israel Electric Corporation Ltd. Its Wealth & Investments segment is involved in the marketing and management of investments for customers; underwriting and investment banking activities; management of mutual funds; and provision of stock exchange and trading, investment policies, and wealth management services. The company's Payments & Financing segment engages in the credit cards - acquiring-aggregator activities; and provision of business credit, supplier financing, business guarantees, payment card vouchers factoring, financing against post-dated checks, financing against liens on real estate properties, construction financing, and consumer credit services. Its Brokers & Advisors segment offers brokerage and marketing services for pension, insurance, and financial products of various insurance companies, investment houses, and institutional entities. The company was formerly known as Phoenix Holdings Ltd. and changed its name to Phoenix Financial Ltd. in August 2024. Phoenix Financial Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is based in Rishon LeZion, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. reported revenue of 30.3B ILS in FY2025 versus 28.6B ILS in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B ILS in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
30.3B ILS
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+25.6% (22.7 + 2.9)
Revenue +1.4%/yr
FY21 28.6B ILS
FY22 8.5B ILS
FY23 24.1B ILS
FY24 30.1B ILS
FY25 30.3B ILS
Net income +13.2%/yr
FY21 2.0B ILS
FY22 1.3B ILS
FY23 777M ILS
FY24 1.8B ILS
FY25 3.2B ILS
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.4 %

of which total revenue +9.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %

EBIT margin +7.8 %
Tax rate −0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PHOE screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Berkshire Hathaway Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PHOE

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 11
FUTURE18 · sector 31
PAST100 · sector 49
HEALTH78 · sector 89
DIVIDEND57 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB80 1.67 THB 1.48 THB −11%
Allianz SE ALV €453.00 €266.04 −41%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 596.00 CHF 335.07 −44%
AXA SA CS €43.61 €39.90 −9%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €44.11 €10.92 −75%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$108.85 C$57.05 −48%
American International Group AIG $76.14 $80.91 +6%
The Hartford Insurance Group HIG $137.38 $133.10 −3%
Arch Capital Group ACGL $98.76 $124.45 +26%
Swiss Life Holding SLHN CHF 919.00 CHF 425.23 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. (PHOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 108.01 ILA versus a price of 192.60 ILA, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PHOE?
Our model-based fair value for The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. is 108.01 ILA (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 192.60 ILA.
What is the quality score of PHOE?
The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. (PHOE)?
The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.5B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PHOE?
The net profit margin of The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. is about 17.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. pay a dividend?
The Phoenix Holdings Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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