Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $346M
Phoenix Asia Holdings
PHOE · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −15.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 96% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $2.57 – $133.12 · fair‑value band $0.7200 – $1.13 · the $22.04 price screens above the $0.9200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE) currently trades at $22.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 95.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Phoenix Asia Holdings generated revenue of $7.1M at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.7200 (bear case) to $1.13 (bull case); at $22.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -96%, PHOE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.18) versus Asset-Based ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising of assessing ground condition by drilling and conducting tests; and foundation …
Full company description
Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising of assessing ground condition by drilling and conducting tests; and foundation works, including excavation and lateral support works, pile caps construction, earth works, structural steel works, underground drainage works, and demolition works. It also provides construction services, such as structural steel works; and advisory and supervision services in substructure projects. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Phoenix Prosperity Investment Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Phoenix Asia Holdings reported revenue of $7.4M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2023, a compound +81.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding +71.0%/yr from FY2023.
PHOE screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 45,400 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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