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American International Group Inc (AIG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $42.0B · ISIN US0268747849

What is American International Group Inc really worth?

AI American International Group Inc logo American International Group Inc AIG · US
Price$76.86
Fair Value$80.91
Upside+5.3%
Quality60/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $80.91.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.4 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100

For context

·2.34% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $60.68 – $101.13

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $75.91 to $80.91 (+6.6%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$85.51 $40.04 Fair Value $80.91 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.04 – $85.51 · fair‑value band $60.68 – $101.13 · the $76.86 price screens below the $80.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

American International Group Inc (AIG) currently trades at $76.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.91, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $75.91 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $76.86 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $29.63, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, American International Group Inc generated revenue of $26.7B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $7.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $60.68 (bear case) to $101.13 (bull case); at $76.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 5%, AIG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.64 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $63.83 $67.84 $74.68 76
Gordon GGM $16.90 $35.14 $55.75 66
DDM Multi-Stage $16.90 $29.63 $36.88 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.90 $35.14 $55.75 66
DDM Multi-Stage $16.90 $29.63 $36.88 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.93 $75.91 $94.89 63
P/B Multiple $74.45 $99.27 $124.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $38.80 $51.99 $77.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $63.83 $67.84 $74.68 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($75.91) versus Dividend Discount ($29.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.5
P/S ratio 1.56 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.68 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5
Dividend yield 2.3% payout 31.7%
Net margin 11.6% FY2025
Return on equity 7.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $26.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4% 3y avg −3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $3.3B FY2025
Net debt $7.9B FY2025 · ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

American International Group, Inc. provides insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal.

Full company description

American International Group, Inc. provides insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal. The company offers commercial and industrial property insurance, including business interruption and package insurance that cover exposure to made and natural disasters; general liability, environmental, commercial automobile liability, workers' compensation, excess casualty, and crisis management insurance products; risk-sharing and other customized structured programs for large corporate and multinational customers; professional liability insurance; and marine, energy-related property insurance products, aviation, political risk, trade credit, and trade finance products. It also provides group personal accident and business travel products for employees, associations, and other organizations; voluntary and sponsor-paid personal accident and supplemental health products for individuals; and personal auto and homeowners in selected markets, comprehensive extended warranty, device protection insurance, home warranty and related services, and insurance for high net-worth individuals. In addition, the company offers mortgage and other loans receivable, such as commercial mortgages, life insurance policy loans, commercial loans, and other loans and notes receivable. American International Group, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

American International Group Inc reported revenue of $26.8B in FY2025 versus $52.0B in FY2021, a compound −15.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.1B in FY2025, compounding −26.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.8B
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−4.9% (−7.2 + 2.3)
Revenue −15.3%/yr
FY21 $52.0B
FY22 $30.0B
FY23 $28.0B
FY24 $27.3B
FY25 $26.8B
Net income −26.1%/yr
FY21 $10.4B
FY22 $10.2B
FY23 $3.6B
FY24 −$1.4B
FY25 $3.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.5 %

of which total revenue −8.2 % · buybacks/dilution +8.4 %

EBIT margin +1.0 %
Tax rate +2.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American International Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIG

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE40 · sector 11
FUTURE7 · sector 31
PAST31 · sector 49
HEALTH89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND47 · sector 72

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB80 1.67 THB 1.48 THB −11%
Allianz SE ALV €453.00 €266.04 −41%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 596.00 CHF 335.07 −44%
AXA SA CS €43.61 €39.90 −9%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €44.11 €10.92 −75%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$108.85 C$57.05 −48%
The Hartford Insurance Group HIG $137.38 $133.10 −3%
Arch Capital Group ACGL $98.76 $124.45 +26%
Swiss Life Holding SLHN CHF 919.00 CHF 425.23 −54%
Sampo Oyj SAMPO €9.68 €6.06 −37%

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Frequently asked questions

Is American International Group Inc (AIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.91 versus a price of $76.86, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AIG?
Our model-based fair value for American International Group Inc is $80.91 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $76.86.
What is the quality score of AIG?
American International Group Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of American International Group Inc (AIG)?
American International Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIG?
The net profit margin of American International Group Inc is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does American International Group Inc pay a dividend?
American International Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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