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American International Group (AIG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $42.0B

AI American International Group logo American International Group AIG · US
Price$76.03
Fair Value$80.91
Upside+6.4%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.28% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $60.68 – $101.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $75.91 to $80.91 (+6.6%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$85.51 $40.04 Fair Value $80.91 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.04 – $85.51 · fair‑value band $60.68 – $101.13 · the $76.03 price screens below the $80.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

American International Group (AIG) currently trades at $76.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.91, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, American International Group generated revenue of $26.7B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $7.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $60.68 (bear case) to $101.13 (bull case); at $76.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 6%, AIG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $63.83 $67.84 $74.68 76
Gordon GGM $16.90 $35.14 $55.75 70
P/E Multiple $56.93 $75.91 $94.89 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.90 $35.14 $55.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.90 $29.63 $36.88 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.93 $75.91 $94.89 63
P/B Multiple $74.45 $99.27 $124.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $38.80 $51.99 $77.59 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $63.83 $67.84 $74.68 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($75.91) versus Dividend Discount ($29.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $26.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow $3.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 18.6%
EPS (TTM) $5.68
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.6%
Net debt $7.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

American International Group, Inc. provides insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal.

Full company description

American International Group, Inc. provides insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal. The company offers commercial and industrial property insurance, including business interruption and package insurance that cover exposure to made and natural disasters; general liability, environmental, commercial automobile liability, workers' compensation, excess casualty, and crisis management insurance products; risk-sharing and other customized structured programs for large corporate and multinational customers; professional liability insurance; and marine, energy-related property insurance products, aviation, political risk, trade credit, and trade finance products. It also provides group personal accident and business travel products for employees, associations, and other organizations; voluntary and sponsor-paid personal accident and supplemental health products for individuals; and personal auto and homeowners in selected markets, comprehensive extended warranty, device protection insurance, home warranty and related services, and insurance for high net-worth individuals. In addition, the company offers mortgage and other loans receivable, such as commercial mortgages, life insurance policy loans, commercial loans, and other loans and notes receivable. American International Group, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

American International Group reported revenue of $26.8B in FY2025 versus $52.0B in FY2021, a compound −15.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.1B in FY2025, compounding −26.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.8B
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue −15.3%/yr
FY21 $52.0B
FY22 $30.0B
FY23 $28.0B
FY24 $27.3B
FY25 $26.8B
Net income −26.1%/yr
FY21 $10.4B
FY22 $10.2B
FY23 $3.6B
FY24 −$1.4B
FY25 $3.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.5 pp

of which total revenue −8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +7.7 pp

EBIT margin +1.0 pp
Tax rate +2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American International Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 18
FUTURE 7 · sector 31
PAST 31 · sector 49
HEALTH 89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 44

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,429 MXN +22%
Allianz SE ALV €437.80 €266.04 -39%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 589.20 CHF 392.99 -33%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 623.98 MXN -30%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €43.88 €13.91 -68%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$37.26 R$33.94 -9%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 151.70 kr 67.88 -55%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,175 IDR 4,617 IDR -77%
ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company ICICIGI ₹1,635 ₹589.67 -64%
The New India Assurance Company NIACL ₹181.09 ₹128.57 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is American International Group (AIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.91 versus a price of $76.03, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AIG?
Our model-based fair value for American International Group is $80.91 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $76.03.
What is the quality score of AIG?
American International Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of American International Group (AIG)?
American International Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIG?
The net profit margin of American International Group is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does American International Group pay a dividend?
American International Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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