Premier Foods plc (PFD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 1.7B GBX
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £2.70 to £2.58 (−4.4%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from £1.90 (bear) to £3.29 (bull), base £2.58. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.8807 – £2.08 · fair‑value band £1.90 – £3.29 · the £1.96 price screens below the £2.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Premier Foods plc (PFD) currently trades at £1.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 31.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Premier Foods plc generated revenue of £1.2B at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at £97.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.90 (bear case) to £3.29 (bull case); at £1.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 32%, PFD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£2.70) versus Dividend Discount (£0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments.
Full company description
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments. The company's products portfolio categories include flavourings and seasonings under the Bisto, OXO, Paxo, SAXA, and Merchant Goumet brands; cooking sauces and accompaniments under the Sharwood's, Loyd Grossman, Homepride, and Spice Tailor brand names; quick and easy meals under the Batchelors, Nissin, FUEL10K, Merchant Goumet, and Sharwood's brands; ambient desserts under the Ambrosia, Bird's, Mr Kipling, and Angel Delight brands; and ambient cakes under the Mr Kipling and Cadbury brands. It also provides dumplings under the Atora brand name; plain flour under the Be-Ro brand; cup noodles under NISSIN brand; breakfast, such as granola, breakfast drinks, and porridge under FUEL10K and Ambrosia brands; and flour for baking under the McDougalls brand name. The company offers its products through supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, and wholesale and food service operators, as well as e-commerce channels. Premier Foods plc was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Saint Albans, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Premier Foods plc reported revenue of £1.2B in FY2026 versus £901M in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was £137M in FY2026, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 652 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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