Premier Foods PLC (PFD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 1.7B GBX · ISIN GB00B7N0K053
What is Premier Foods PLC really worth?
A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of £2.58.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.8807 – £2.08 · fair‑value band £1.90 – £3.29 · the £1.95 price screens below the £2.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Premier Foods PLC (PFD) currently trades at £1.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £2.70 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the £1.95 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.2800, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Premier Foods PLC generated revenue of £1.2B at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at £97.1M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.90 (bear case) to £3.29 (bull case); at £1.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 32%, PFD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0501 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£2.70) versus Dividend Discount (£0.2800). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments.
Full company description
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments. The company's products portfolio categories include flavourings and seasonings under the Bisto, OXO, Paxo, SAXA, and Merchant Goumet brands; cooking sauces and accompaniments under the Sharwood's, Loyd Grossman, Homepride, and Spice Tailor brand names; quick and easy meals under the Batchelors, Nissin, FUEL10K, Merchant Goumet, and Sharwood's brands; ambient desserts under the Ambrosia, Bird's, Mr Kipling, and Angel Delight brands; and ambient cakes under the Mr Kipling and Cadbury brands. It also provides dumplings under the Atora brand name; plain flour under the Be-Ro brand; cup noodles under NISSIN brand; breakfast, such as granola, breakfast drinks, and porridge under FUEL10K and Ambrosia brands; and flour for baking under the McDougalls brand name. The company offers its products through supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, and wholesale and food service operators, as well as e-commerce channels. Premier Foods plc was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Saint Albans, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Premier Foods PLC reported revenue of £1.2B in FY2026 versus £901M in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was £137M in FY2026, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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