NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $68.3B · ISIN NL0009538784
What is NXP Semiconductors NV really worth?
NXP Semiconductors NV
NXPI · US
A solid business, but trading 75% above our fair value of $128.31.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −5.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($194.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($74.69 to $194.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $128.80 – $331.55 · fair‑value band $74.69 – $194.83 · the $224.99 price screens above the $128.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) currently trades at $224.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $128.31, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $181.99 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the $224.99 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $26.69, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, NXP Semiconductors NV generated revenue of $12.6B at a net margin of 21.0%. Revenue grew 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. Net debt stands at $9.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $74.69 (bear case) to $194.83 (bull case); at $224.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −43%, NXPI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.34 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($181.99) versus Asset-Based ($26.69). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
Notify me when NXPI reaches fair value
Put NXPI on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
NXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally.
Full company description
NXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface products; radio frequency devices, and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to direct sales offices and independent distributors. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NXP Semiconductors NV reported revenue of $12.3B in FY2025 versus $11.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
NXPI screens 75% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Analog Semiconductors Stocks Q2 Recap: Benchmarking NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI)
- NXP Semiconductors Announces Quarterly Dividend
- Why Is NXP (NXPI) Down 7.4% Since Last Earnings Report?
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 325 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $227.98 | $98.98 | −57% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $427.30 | $296.10 | −31% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $371.54 | $118.27 | −68% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,647,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | −10% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $932.86 | $148.38 | −84% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $476.67 | $55.02 | −88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $92.09 | $35.41 | −62% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $266.54 | $78.54 | −71% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $164.78 | $147.20 | −11% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,845 TWD | 1,559 TWD | −59% |
Compare NXP Semiconductors NV with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NXPI?
What is the quality score of NXPI?
What is the revenue of NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)?
What is the net profit margin of NXPI?
Does NXP Semiconductors NV pay a dividend?
Watch NXP Semiconductors NV in the live analysis
One click puts NXP Semiconductors NV on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.