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News Corporation (NWSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $15.6B

NC News Corporation logo News Corporation NWSA · US
Price$28.94
Fair Value$22.33
Upside-22.8%
Quality71/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.71% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range $16.04 – $36.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $22.68 to $22.33 (−1.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range ($16.04 to $36.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.90 $14.51 Fair Value $22.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.51 – $30.90 · fair‑value band $16.04 – $36.30 · the $28.94 price screens above the $22.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

News Corporation (NWSA) currently trades at $28.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.33, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, News Corporation generated revenue of $8.8B at a net margin of 12.9%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at $537M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.04 (bear case) to $36.30 (bull case); at $28.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -23%, NWSA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $14.20 $18.77 $26.85 80
Residual Income $14.79 $18.69 $47.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.55 $21.36 $29.79 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.65 $18.33 $27.35 38
Owner Earnings $22.38 $30.32 $45.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.55 $21.07 $30.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.73 $26.52 $38.35 41
5Y P/E Exit $24.01 $37.29 $53.34 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.69 $18.86 $24.58 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.04 $22.33 $29.26 37
10Y P/E Exit $19.86 $29.17 $38.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.08 $19.72 $23.03 54
EPV $12.45 $14.35 $16.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.98 $3.31 $3.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.98 $3.84 $4.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.16 $45.55 $56.94 63
P/S Multiple $26.40 $35.20 $44.00 58
P/B Multiple $26.40 $35.20 $44.00 55
EV/EBIT $21.20 $27.91 $34.62 53
EV/EBITDA $23.41 $30.86 $38.31 54
EV/Revenue $16.33 $22.88 $29.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.70 $10.32 $15.40 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.20 $18.77 $26.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.55 $21.36 $29.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.79 $18.69 $47.58 76
ROIC Compounder $12.45 $14.35 $16.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $24.08 $34.40 $44.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($34.40) versus Dividend Discount ($3.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin 12.9%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow $727M FY2025
P/E ratio 34.0 as of Jun 5, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.7900
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net debt $537M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

News Corporation, a media and information services company, creates and distributes authoritative and engaging content, and other products and services for consumers and businesses. It operates through five segments: Digital Real Estate Services, Dow Jones, Book Publishing, News Media, and Other.

Full company description

News Corporation, a media and information services company, creates and distributes authoritative and engaging content, and other products and services for consumers and businesses. It operates through five segments: Digital Real Estate Services, Dow Jones, Book Publishing, News Media, and Other. The company distributes content and data products through various media channels, such as newspapers, newswires, websites, mobile apps, newsletters, magazines, proprietary databases, live journalism, video, and podcasts under the MarketWatch, The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Investor's Business Daily, Factiva, Dow Jones Risk & Compliance, Dow Jones Newswires, and Dow Jones Energy brands. It also owns and operates Monday to Friday, Saturday and Sunday, weekly, and bi-weekly newspapers comprising The Australian, The Weekend Australian, The Daily Telegraph, The Sunday Telegraph, Herald Sun, Sunday Herald Sun, The Courier Mail, The Sunday Mail, The Advertiser, Sunday Mail, The Sun, The Sun on Sunday, The Times, The Sunday Times, and New York Post, as well as digital mastheads and other websites. In addition, the company publishes general fiction, nonfiction, children's, and religious books; and operates Storyful, a social media content agency, as well as sports radio network and news channels. Further, it offers property and property-related advertising and services on its websites and mobile applications; digital real estate services; and financial services. The company has operations in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australasia, and internationally. News Corporation was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

News Corporation reported revenue of $8.5B in FY2025 versus $9.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +37.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.5B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 $9.4B
FY22 $10.4B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 $8.3B
FY25 $8.5B
Net income +37.5%/yr
FY21 $330M
FY22 $623M
FY23 $149M
FY24 $266M
FY25 $1.2B

NWSA screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "News Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWSA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.12× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 6
FUTURE 44 · sector 12
PAST 26 · sector 0
HEALTH 90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 44

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.08 C$2.66 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 46,000 KRW 82,382 KRW +79%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is News Corporation (NWSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.33 versus a price of $28.94, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NWSA?
Our model-based fair value for News Corporation is $22.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.94.
What is the quality score of NWSA?
News Corporation has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of News Corporation (NWSA)?
News Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NWSA?
The net profit margin of News Corporation is about 12.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does News Corporation pay a dividend?
News Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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