NVR, Inc (NVR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $17.5B
NVR, Inc
NVR · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.1% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($5,270 to $10,477) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $5,270 (bear) to $10,477 (bull), base $7,821. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 79/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3,670 – $9,924 · fair‑value band $5,270 – $10,477 · the $6,375 price screens below the $7,821 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
NVR, Inc (NVR) currently trades at $6,375, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7,821, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NVR, Inc generated revenue of $9.9B at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue declined 21.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $760M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5,270 (bear case) to $10,477 (bull case); at $6,375, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 23%, NVR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8,251) versus Asset-Based ($959.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names.
Full company description
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers. It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, Washington, D.C., New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia, and Kentucky. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NVR, Inc reported revenue of $10.3B in FY2025 versus $9.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch NVR: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- NVR (NVR): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q2 Earnings?
- NVR (NVR) Earnings And Buybacks Put Its Fair Value Debate Back In Focus
- PHM or NVR: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Is NVR Stock Attractive After Its 2026 Earnings & Revenue Miss?
Peer Group
Residential Construction · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc DHI | $145.82 | $213.23 | +46% |
| PulteGroup, Inc PHM | $129.16 | $190.17 | +47% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $85.20 | $143.01 | +68% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $148.53 | $221.32 | +49% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $72.45 | $136.88 | +89% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $242.95 | $209.51 | -14% |
| Meritage Homes Corporation MTH | $72.89 | $102.94 | +41% |
| Champion Homes, Inc SKY | $93.88 | $75.12 | -20% |
| Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO | $598.38 | $421.10 | -30% |
| M/I Homes, Inc MHO | $151.07 | $177.41 | +17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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