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Lennar Corporation (LEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $20.2B · ISIN US5260571048

What is Lennar Corporation really worth?

LC Lennar Corporation logo Lennar Corporation LEN · US
Price$84.45
Fair Value$132.40
Upside+56.8%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 36% below our fair value of $132.40.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100

For context

·2.37% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $80.66 – $194.22

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from $116.80 to $132.40 (+13.4%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($80.66 to $194.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$164.39 $53.28 Fair Value $132.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $53.28 – $164.39 · fair‑value band $80.66 – $194.22 · the $84.45 price screens below the $132.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Lennar Corporation (LEN) currently trades at $84.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $132.40, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $172.89 per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the $84.45 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $32.54, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lennar Corporation generated revenue of $33.2B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $80.66 (bear case) to $194.22 (bull case); at $84.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 57%, LEN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 9 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.77 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $73.76 $81.29 $121.29 74
EPV $66.67 $79.26 $90.28 72
Owner Earnings $97.96 $197.16 $379.17 71
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $97.96 $197.16 $379.17 71
5Y Revenue Exit $58.91 $136.07 $247.49 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $56.77 $131.47 $230.50 71
5Y P/E Exit $77.68 $176.31 $295.40 67
10Y Revenue Exit $33.80 $100.36 $214.87 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.84 $96.91 $200.10 62
10Y P/E Exit $49.94 $130.52 $256.56 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $54.83 $289.49 $400.76 61
Lynch FV $79.64 $113.77 $147.90 58
PEG = 1.0 $79.64 $113.77 $147.90 55
EPV $66.67 $79.26 $90.28 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.56 $38.59 $61.21 64
DDM Multi-Stage $18.56 $32.54 $40.50 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $133.04 $177.38 $221.73 61
P/S Multiple $102.80 $137.07 $171.34 56
P/B Multiple $102.80 $137.07 $171.34 53
EV/EBIT $135.17 $183.19 $231.21 64
EV/EBITDA $91.84 $125.42 $158.99 66
EV/Revenue $88.22 $129.84 $171.45 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $42.60 $57.08 $85.20 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $73.76 $81.29 $121.29 74
ROIC Compounder $66.67 $79.26 $97.61 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $121.02 $172.89 $224.76 66

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($172.89) versus Dividend Discount ($32.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.1 as of Jul 19, 2026
P/S ratio 0.80 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1
Dividend yield 2.4% payout 31.3%
Net margin 6.1% FY2025
Return on equity 7.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $33.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −13.3% 3y avg +0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −52.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $28.2M FY2025
Net debt $2.5B FY2025 · ≈ 89.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the United States. It operates through Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding South Central, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other segments.

Full company description

Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the United States. It operates through Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding South Central, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other segments. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, as well as the purchase, development, and sale of residential land; and development, construction, and management of multifamily rental properties. It also offers residential mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services for home buyers and others, as well as originating and selling securitization commercial mortgage loans. In addition, the company is involved in fund investment activities. It primarily serves first-time, move-up, active adult, and luxury homebuyers. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lennar Corporation reported revenue of $34.2B in FY2025 versus $27.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025, compounding −17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.2B
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.4% (−1.0 + 2.4)
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 $27.1B
FY22 $33.7B
FY23 $34.2B
FY24 $35.4B
FY25 $34.2B
Net income −17.2%/yr
FY21 $4.4B
FY22 $4.6B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $3.9B
FY25 $2.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.7 %

of which total revenue +15.6 % · buybacks/dilution −1.6 %

EBIT margin +1.0 %
Tax rate +1.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lennar Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LEN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +57% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 717.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 11.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 54
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST29 · sector 32
HEALTH86 · sector 88
DIVIDEND47 · sector 66

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $145.26 $213.23 +47%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $126.75 $190.17 +50%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,396 $7,821 +22%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $146.22 $221.32 +51%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.45 $136.88 +89%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $237.70 $209.51 −12%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $71.06 $102.94 +45%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $93.88 $75.12 −20%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $598.38 $421.10 −30%
M/I Homes, Inc MHO $148.81 $177.41 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lennar Corporation (LEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $132.40 versus a price of $84.45, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LEN?
Our model-based fair value for Lennar Corporation is $132.40 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $84.45.
What is the quality score of LEN?
Lennar Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lennar Corporation (LEN)?
Lennar Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LEN?
The net profit margin of Lennar Corporation is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lennar Corporation pay a dividend?
Lennar Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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