Northam Platinum Holdings (NPH) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 94.1B ZAC
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R80.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range R86.85 – R452.48 · fair‑value band R48.21 – R80.35 · the R257.36 price screens above the R64.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Northam Platinum Holdings (NPH) currently trades at R257.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R64.28, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Northam Platinum Holdings generated revenue of 41.6B ZAR at a net margin of 22.0%. Revenue grew 60.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. Net debt stands at 5.5B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R48.21 (bear case) to R80.35 (bull case); at R257.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -75%, NPH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R78.26) versus Dividend Discount (R13.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when NPH reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Northam Platinum Holdings Limited, through its subsidiary, Northam Platinum Limited, engages in the production and sale of platinum group metals. It operates through four segments: Zondereinde mine, Booysendal mine, Eland mine, and the US recycling operations.
Full company description
Northam Platinum Holdings Limited, through its subsidiary, Northam Platinum Limited, engages in the production and sale of platinum group metals. It operates through four segments: Zondereinde mine, Booysendal mine, Eland mine, and the US recycling operations. The company explores for platinum, palladium, rhodium, gold, iridium, ruthenium, silver, nickel, copper, cobalt, and chrome deposits. It holds interests in the Booysendal mine located on the eastern limb of the Bushveld complex; the Zondereinde mine located in the northern end of the western limb of the Bushveld complex; and the Eland mine located in the south-eastern portion of the western limb of the Bushveld complex. The company also offers recycling services. Northam Platinum Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Northam Platinum Holdings reported revenue of R32.9B in FY2025 versus R32.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was R1.5B in FY2025, compounding −36.9%/yr from FY2021.
NPH screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 100 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 544.18 MXN | -6% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $17.76 | $8.15 | -54% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $34.60 | $29.53 | -15% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $10.71 | $19.44 | +82% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$35.90 | C$18.48 | -49% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$39.91 | C$21.85 | -45% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | -50% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | -85% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.71 | ¥13.23 | -39% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$35.18 | C$5.85 | -83% |
Compare Northam Platinum Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Northam Platinum Holdings (NPH) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NPH?
What is the quality score of NPH?
What is the revenue of Northam Platinum Holdings (NPH)?
What is the net profit margin of NPH?
Does Northam Platinum Holdings pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Northam Platinum Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.