CGG.TO (CGG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$9.8B (≈ $7.1B) · ISIN CA16890P1036
What is CGG.TO really worth?
A strong business, but trading 81% above our fair value of C$25.80.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +40.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 87/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide (C$19.26 to C$54.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$2.60 – C$46.69 · fair‑value band C$19.26 – C$54.02 · the C$46.69 price screens above the C$25.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
CGG.TO (CGG) currently trades at C$46.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$25.80, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$34.58 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$46.69 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$3.90, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, CGG.TO generated revenue of C$1.5B at a net margin of 41.3%. Revenue grew 66.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. Net debt stands at C$148M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$19.26 (bear case) to C$54.02 (bull case); at C$46.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 314% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −45%, CGG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$1.03 per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$34.58) versus Dividend Discount (C$1.21). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
Notify me when CGG reaches fair value
Put CGG on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada.
Full company description
China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada. It holds 96.5% interest in the Chang Shan Hao gold mine (CSH mine) located in Inner Mongolia, China; and holds 100% interest in the Jiama copper-gold polymetallic mine that hosts copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, lead, and zinc metals located in Tibet, China. The company also engages in logistics and transport-related businesses, and investment holding activity, as well as operates an issuer of bonds. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CGG.TO reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $467M in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
CGG screens 81% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN | 4,480 IDR | 1,021 IDR | −77% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $21.43 | $8.14 | −62% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $35.12 | $29.53 | −16% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $11.85 | $19.35 | +63% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp 2099 | HK$260.80 | HK$147.41 | −43% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$43.62 | C$21.85 | −50% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | −50% |
| PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA | 545.00 IDR | 82.43 IDR | −85% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$34.90 | C$5.80 | −83% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | −85% |
Compare CGG.TO with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is CGG.TO (CGG) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CGG?
What is the quality score of CGG?
What is the revenue of CGG.TO (CGG)?
What is the net profit margin of CGG?
Does CGG.TO pay a dividend?
Watch CGG.TO in the live analysis
One click puts CGG.TO on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.