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Hecla Mining Company (HL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $13.9B · ISIN US4227041062

What is Hecla Mining Company really worth?

HM Hecla Mining Company logo Hecla Mining Company HL · US
Price$21.21
Fair Value$8.14
Upside−61.6%
Quality70/100

A solid business, but trading 161% above our fair value of $8.14.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 19.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 82/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100

For context

·0.07% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $5.34 – $10.18

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +37.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($5.34 to $10.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.79 $3.34 Fair Value $8.14 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.34 – $31.79 · fair‑value band $5.34 – $10.18 · the $21.21 price screens above the $8.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Hecla Mining Company (HL) currently trades at $21.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.14, implying the stock looks roughly 160.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $9.66 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $21.21 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.58, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hecla Mining Company generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue grew 100.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.9%. Net debt stands at $34.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.34 (bear case) to $10.18 (bull case); at $21.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 288% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −62%, HL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.4586 per share, which is 5.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $5.87 $10.58 $18.72 77
Growth DCF $5.84 $10.18 $17.51 76
EPV $5.34 $6.23 $7.02 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.87 $10.58 $18.72 77
Owner Earnings $4.44 $8.00 $14.16 73
5Y Revenue Exit $3.35 $5.26 $7.75 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.76 $12.25 $19.14 73
5Y P/E Exit $5.68 $10.03 $14.98 70
10Y Revenue Exit $4.08 $6.17 $9.19 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.41 $11.28 $18.67 66
10Y P/E Exit $5.69 $9.66 $15.21 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.26 $14.84 $20.37 64
Lynch FV $3.89 $5.56 $7.22 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.89 $5.56 $7.22 57
EPV $5.34 $6.23 $7.02 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.2900 $0.4700 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.2500 $0.3100 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.11 $8.14 $10.18 63
P/S Multiple $2.38 $3.18 $3.97 58
P/B Multiple $6.11 $8.14 $10.18 55
EV/EBIT $8.35 $11.14 $13.94 66
EV/EBITDA $7.80 $10.41 $13.03 67
EV/Revenue $2.18 $3.14 $4.09 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.93 $2.58 $3.86 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.84 $10.18 $17.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF $3.35 $5.28 $7.77 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.60 $4.43 $11.16 69
ROIC Compounder $5.92 $8.09 $11.06 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.61 $8.01 $10.42 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.66) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 32.6
P/S ratio 7.38 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.6500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.6
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 2.3%
Net margin 22.6% FY2025
Return on equity 19.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 55.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +100% 3y avg +25.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +952%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $310M FY2025
Net debt $34.2M FY2025 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hecla Mining Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides precious and base metals in the United States, Canada, Japan, Korea, China, and internationally.

Full company description

Hecla Mining Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides precious and base metals in the United States, Canada, Japan, Korea, China, and internationally. The company mines for silver, gold, lead, and zinc concentrates, as well as carbon material containing silver and gold for custom smelters, metal traders, and third-party processors; and unrefined doré containing silver and gold. The company was incorporated in 1891 and is headquartered in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hecla Mining Company reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $807M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was $322M in FY2025, compounding +74.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+53.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+50.0% (49.9 + 0.1)
Revenue +15.2%/yr
FY21 $807M
FY22 $719M
FY23 $720M
FY24 $930M
FY25 $1.4B
Net income +74.0%/yr
FY21 $35.1M
FY22 −$37.3M
FY23 −$84.2M
FY24 $35.8M
FY25 $322M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.9 %

of which total revenue +7.9 % · buybacks/dilution −5.5 %

EBIT margin +9.0 %
Tax rate −2.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HL screens 161% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hecla Mining Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 103 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.97× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 44.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 94
PAST89 · sector 0
HEALTH95 · sector 99
DIVIDEND1 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,480 IDR 1,021 IDR −77%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $35.12 $29.53 −16%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.85 $19.35 +63%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$46.69 C$25.63 −45%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$43.62 C$21.85 −50%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.25 $16.03 −50%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 545.00 IDR 82.43 IDR −85%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$34.90 C$5.80 −83%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥19.06 ¥2.84 −85%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.30 ¥13.23 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hecla Mining Company (HL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.14 versus a price of $21.21, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HL?
Our model-based fair value for Hecla Mining Company is $8.14 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.21.
What is the quality score of HL?
Hecla Mining Company has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hecla Mining Company (HL)?
Hecla Mining Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HL?
The net profit margin of Hecla Mining Company is about 16.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hecla Mining Company pay a dividend?
Hecla Mining Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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