Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $7.7B
Sibanye Stillwater Limited
SBSW · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $19.38 to $19.44 (+0.3%) since Aug 11, 2026. Share price +22.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 86% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.10 – $20.56 · fair‑value band $14.80 – $25.25 · the $10.48 price screens below the $19.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) currently trades at $10.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.44, implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sibanye Stillwater Limited generated revenue of $130B at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. Net debt stands at $27.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.80 (bear case) to $25.25 (bull case); at $10.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 86%, SBSW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.81) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3690). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces gold; platinum group metals (PGMs), including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; chrome; lithium; zinc; nickel; and silver, cobalt, and copper.
Full company description
Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces gold; platinum group metals (PGMs), including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; chrome; lithium; zinc; nickel; and silver, cobalt, and copper. Sibanye Stillwater Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Weltevredenpark, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sibanye Stillwater Limited reported revenue of $120B in FY2025 versus $172B in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.8B in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sibanye Stillwater (JSE:SSW) Stock Fair Value Falls After Mixed Analyst Revisions
- Sibanye Stillwater appeals U.S. trade ruling over Russian palladium import dumping
- Is Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) One of the Best African Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds?
- Sibanye Stillwater Limited ("Sibanye-Stillwater" or the "Group"), through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Stillwater Mining Company (the "Offer
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 100 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 544.18 MXN | -6% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $17.76 | $8.15 | -54% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $34.60 | $29.53 | -15% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$35.90 | C$18.48 | -49% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$39.91 | C$21.85 | -45% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | -50% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | -85% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.71 | ¥13.23 | -39% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$35.18 | C$5.85 | -83% |
| Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company 1322 | 84.45 SAR | 53.08 SAR | -37% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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