Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $3.2B · ISIN CA7142661031
What is Perpetua Resources Corp really worth?
Perpetua Resources Corp
PPTA · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 385% above our fair value of $5.16.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +21.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.41 to $6.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.70 – $37.22 · fair‑value band $3.41 – $6.45 · the $25.05 price screens above the $5.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) currently trades at $25.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.16, implying the stock looks roughly 385.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
It earns a return on equity of −30.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $773M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.41 (bear case) to $6.45 (bull case); at $25.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −79%, PPTA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits.
Full company description
Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits. Its principal mineral project is the 100% owned Stibnite Gold project, which includes 1,674 unpatented lode claims, mill sites, and patented land holdings covering an area of approximately 11,526 hectares located in Valley County, Idaho. The company was formerly known as Midas Gold Corp. and changed its name to Perpetua Resources Corp. in February 2021. Perpetua Resources Corp. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Perpetua Resources Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$100M in FY2025.
PPTA screens 385% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN | 4,480 IDR | 1,021 IDR | −77% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $21.43 | $8.14 | −62% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $35.12 | $29.53 | −16% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $11.85 | $19.35 | +63% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$46.69 | C$25.63 | −45% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$43.62 | C$21.85 | −50% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | −50% |
| PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA | 545.00 IDR | 82.43 IDR | −85% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | −85% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.30 | ¥13.23 | −38% |
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