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NN Group (NN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NL · Market cap €20.4B

NG NN Group NN · AS
Price€78.26
Fair Value€65.76
Upside-16.0%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
4.97% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range €49.32 – €82.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €59.07 to €65.76 (+11.3%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€81.60 €24.77 Fair Value €65.76 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €24.77 – €81.60 · fair‑value band €49.32 – €82.20 · the €78.26 price screens above the €65.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NN Group (NN) currently trades at €78.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €65.76, implying the stock looks roughly 16.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, NN Group generated revenue of €14.3B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at €7.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €49.32 (bear case) to €82.20 (bull case); at €78.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -16%, NN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €58.48 €61.14 €63.09 76
Gordon GGM €32.95 €36.07 €40.81 70
P/E Multiple €44.31 €59.07 €73.84 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €32.95 €36.07 €40.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage €32.95 €41.34 €53.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €44.31 €59.07 €73.84 63
P/B Multiple €57.94 €77.25 €96.56 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €36.46 €48.85 €72.91 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €58.48 €61.14 €63.09 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€61.14) versus Dividend Discount (€36.07). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €14.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.5%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow −€2.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 39.2%
EPS (TTM) €4.17
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -15.3%
Net debt €7.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NN Group N.V., a financial services company, provides life and non-life insurance products in the Netherlands and internationally. It operates through the Netherlands Life, the Netherlands Non-Life, Insurance Europe, Japan Life, and NN Bank segments.

Full company description

NN Group N.V., a financial services company, provides life and non-life insurance products in the Netherlands and internationally. It operates through the Netherlands Life, the Netherlands Non-Life, Insurance Europe, Japan Life, and NN Bank segments. The company provides insured defined benefit, defined contribution, pensions under the Nationale-Nederlanden brand name; premium pension institution services under the BeFrank brand name; and general pension fund administration and advisory services under AZL brand name, as well as non-life insurance products, including motor, fire, liability, transport, travel, health, and disability and accident insurance products. It also provides long-term protection to cover a variety of risks including disability, critical illness and health; and protection, savings and retirement solutions. In addition, the company offers financial services, such as savings, investments, bancassurance and mortgages under the Woonnu brand name. The company offers its products to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, and corporate customers directly through tied agents, advisors, brokers, and direct channels. The company was formerly known as ING Insurance Topholding N.V. and changed its name to NN Group N.V. in March 2014. NN Group N.V. was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in The Hague, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NN Group reported revenue of €3.0B in FY2025 versus €19.1B in FY2021, a compound −37.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.2B in FY2025, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.0B
Latest YoY
−76.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−29.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.1%
Revenue −37.0%/yr
FY21 €19.1B
FY22 €8.5B
FY23 €13.2B
FY24 €12.6B
FY25 €3.0B
Net income −22.4%/yr
FY21 €3.3B
FY22 €1.6B
FY23 €1.2B
FY24 €1.6B
FY25 €1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.0 pp

of which total revenue −4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.1 pp

EBIT margin −1.9 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

NN screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Berkshire Hathaway Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NN Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.72× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 22 · sector 49
HEALTH 65 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 99 · sector 44

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,429 MXN +22%
Allianz SE ALV €437.80 €266.04 -39%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 589.20 CHF 392.99 -33%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 623.98 MXN -30%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €43.88 €13.91 -68%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$37.26 R$33.94 -9%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 151.70 kr 67.88 -55%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,175 IDR 4,617 IDR -77%
ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company ICICIGI ₹1,635 ₹589.67 -64%
The New India Assurance Company NIACL ₹181.09 ₹128.57 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NN Group (NN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €65.76 versus a price of €78.26, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NN?
Our model-based fair value for NN Group is €65.76 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €78.26.
What is the quality score of NN?
NN Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NN Group (NN)?
NN Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €14.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NN?
The net profit margin of NN Group is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NN Group pay a dividend?
NN Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.36% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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