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Nano Labs Ltd (NA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $45.7M · ISIN KYG6391Y1281

What is Nano Labs Ltd really worth?

NL Nano Labs Ltd logo Nano Labs Ltd NA · US
Price$2.24
Fair Value$1.70
Upside−24.0%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 32% above our fair value of $1.70.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (6/10)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +66.2 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 1 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.28 – $2.13

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from $1.71 to $1.70 (−0.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +19.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$108.70 $1.61 Fair Value $1.70 Jul 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range $1.61 – $108.70 · fair‑value band $1.28 – $2.13 · the $2.24 price screens above the $1.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Nano Labs Ltd (NA) currently trades at $2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.70, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.06 per share, and 6 of the 10 models we run sit above the $2.24 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3709, and 4 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $27.0M. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.9%. Net debt stands at $226M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.28 (bear case) to $2.13 (bull case); at $2.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −24%, NA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6727 per share, which is 39.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $1.09 $2.26 $4.31 68
Growth-Adj P/E $3.54 $5.06 $6.58 64
P/E Multiple $2.10 $2.80 $3.50 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $1.09 $2.26 $4.31 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.6808 $4.75 $6.66 59
Lynch FV $2.45 $3.50 $4.56 57
PEG = 1.0 $2.45 $3.50 $4.56 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.10 $2.80 $3.50 63
P/S Multiple $0.0823 $0.1098 $0.1372 58
P/B Multiple $1.28 $1.70 $2.13 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2767 $0.3709 $0.5535 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.5365 $0.6889 $1.67 59
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.54 $5.06 $6.58 64

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($5.06) versus Asset-Based ($0.3709). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (68).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 2.0 as of Jun 22, 2026
P/S ratio 9.98 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.9900 price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.0
Net margin 502% TTM
Return on equity 25.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −22.8% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −195% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $27.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.1% 3y avg −69.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$108M FY2025
Net debt $226M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nano Labs Ltd engages in the design and sale of fabless integrated circuit and product solutions in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. The company develops HTC chips and HPC chips.

Full company description

Nano Labs Ltd engages in the design and sale of fabless integrated circuit and product solutions in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. The company develops HTC chips and HPC chips. It offers Cuckoo 1.0, Cuckoo 2.0, and Cuckoo 3.0 which target the ASIC-resistant mining algorithms of cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum Classic and Grin; and Darkbird 1.0 HPC chips. The company serves enterprises and individual buyers. Nano Labs Ltd was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nano Labs Ltd reported revenue of 27.0M CNY in FY2025 versus 39.4M CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 135M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.0M
Latest YoY
−33.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−69.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+66.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Revenue −9.0%/yr
FY21 39.4M CNY
FY22 983M CNY
FY23 78.3M CNY
FY24 40.6M CNY
FY25 27.0M CNY
Net income
FY21 −175M CNY
FY22 31.1M CNY
FY23 −253M CNY
FY24 −113M CNY
FY25 135M CNY

NA screens 32% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nano Labs Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NA

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −195% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE1 · sector 0
FUTURE91 · sector 65
PAST100 · sector 25
HEALTH89 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 18

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $227.98 $98.98 −57%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $427.30 $296.10 −31%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $371.54 $118.27 −68%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,647,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW −10%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $932.86 $148.38 −84%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $476.67 $55.02 −88%
Intel Corporation INTC $92.09 $35.41 −62%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $266.54 $78.54 −71%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $164.78 $147.20 −11%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nano Labs Ltd (NA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.70 versus a price of $2.24, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NA?
Our model-based fair value for Nano Labs Ltd is $1.70 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.24.
What is the quality score of NA?
Nano Labs Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nano Labs Ltd (NA)?
Nano Labs Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
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