Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd ADR (MTSFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $25.2B · ISIN US60683M1099

What is Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd ADR really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range ($26.46 to $56.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.18 – $41.60 · fair‑value band $26.46 – $56.86 · the $29.14 price screens below the $40.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd ADR (MTSFY) currently trades at $29.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.57, implying the stock looks roughly 28.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of $2.7T at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at $4.6T. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.46 (bear case) to $56.86 (bull case); at $29.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 39%, MTSFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5,600) versus Asset-Based ($2,459). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates through five segments: Leasing, Property Sales, Management, Facility Operations, and Other. The Leasing segment leases office buildings and retail facilities, and other properties.

Full company description

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates through five segments: Leasing, Property Sales, Management, Facility Operations, and Other. The Leasing segment leases office buildings and retail facilities, and other properties. The Property Sales segment is involved in the sale of condominiums and detached housing to individuals; and rental housing and office buildings and other to investors. The Management segment engages in the property management and brokerage and asset management businesses. The Facility Operations segment is involved in the hotels and resorts, and sports and entertainment businesses. The Other segment engages in the new construction under consignment. The company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of $2.9T in FY2026 versus $2.1T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $295B in FY2026, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2022.

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Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 131 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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