Match Group Inc (MTCH) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $8.9B · ISIN US57667L1070
What is Match Group Inc really worth?
Match Group Inc
MTCH · US
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of $44.71.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +2.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.26 – $168.53 · fair‑value band $31.26 – $55.88 · the $42.43 price screens below the $44.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Match Group Inc (MTCH) currently trades at $42.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.71, implying the stock looks roughly 5.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $52.90 per share, and 15 of the 21 models we run sit above the $42.43 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $24.01, and 6 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Match Group Inc generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 49.9%. Net debt stands at $2.9B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $31.26 (bear case) to $55.88 (bull case); at $42.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 5%, MTCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.25 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($52.90) versus Earnings-Based ($24.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia.
Full company description
Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. The company's portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and other brands, built to increase users' likelihood of connecting with others. It provides tailored services to meet the various preferences of its users. Match Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Match Group Inc reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $613M in FY2025, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.9 % · buybacks/dilution −3.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch MTCH: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Zacks.com featured highlights include Match Group, Amkor Technology and HF Sinclair
- Zacks.com featured highlights include Dollar General, Envista, Match and The Allstate
- Match Group to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $340.65 | $145.14 | −57% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $571.10 | $534.91 | −6% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$455.20 | HK$449.03 | −1% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $547.51 | $211.87 | −61% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $153.29 | $39.59 | −74% |
| Baidu, Inc 89888 | HK$79.10 | HK$28.84 | −64% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 | HK$34.50 | HK$63.28 | +83% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 213,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +8% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| REA Group REA | A$177.42 | A$88.53 | −50% |
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