Liquidity Services Inc (LQDT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.2B · ISIN US53635B1070
What is Liquidity Services Inc really worth?
Liquidity Services Inc
LQDT · US
A strong business, but trading 114% above our fair value of $18.92.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.65 – $43.58 · fair‑value band $14.19 – $23.65 · the $40.50 price screens above the $18.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Liquidity Services Inc (LQDT) currently trades at $40.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.92, implying the stock looks roughly 114.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $28.41 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $40.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.37, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Liquidity Services Inc generated revenue of $480M at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $160M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.19 (bear case) to $23.65 (bull case); at $40.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −53%, LQDT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.8663 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($28.41) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Liquidity Services, Inc. engages in the provision of e-commerce marketplaces, self-directed auction listing tools, and value-added services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: GovDeals, Retail Supply Chain Group (RSCG), Capital Assets Group (CAG), and Machinio.
Full company description
Liquidity Services, Inc. engages in the provision of e-commerce marketplaces, self-directed auction listing tools, and value-added services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: GovDeals, Retail Supply Chain Group (RSCG), Capital Assets Group (CAG), and Machinio. Its solutions enable government entities and commercial businesses to sell surplus property and real estate assets through GovDeals, Bid4Assets, and Sierra marketplaces. The company also offers a suite of services, including surplus management, asset valuation, asset sales, marketing, returns management, asset recovery, and ecommerce services; and operates Liquidation.com, a marketplace to sell excess, returned, and overstocked consumer goods. In addition, it operates a global search engine platform for listing used equipment for sale in the construction, machine tool, transportation, printing, laboratory/medical, and agriculture sectors. Further, the company provides Machinio System service that offers various software tools, such as website hosting, email marketing, and inventory management to equipment sellers. The company offers products for various industries, such as consumer electronics, general merchandise, apparel, scientific equipment, aerospace parts and equipment, technology hardware, real estate, energy equipment, industrial capital assets, heavy equipment, fleet and transportation equipment, and specialty equipment. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Liquidity Services Inc reported revenue of $477M in FY2025 versus $258M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $28.1M in FY2025, compounding −13.8%/yr from FY2021.
LQDT screens 114% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Retail · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc AMZN | $256.26 | $127.67 | −50% |
| Alibaba Group 89988 | HK$97.45 | HK$48.38 | −50% |
| PDD Holdings PDD | $85.69 | $225.48 | +163% |
| MercadoLibre, Inc MELI | $1,966 | $798.98 | −59% |
| DoorDash, Inc DASH | $222.00 | $38.64 | −83% |
| Sea Limited SE | $118.32 | $52.70 | −55% |
| JD.com, Inc 89618 | ¥95.45 | ¥73.98 | −22% |
| eBay Inc EBAY | $105.62 | $60.13 | −43% |
| Coupang, Inc CPNG | $16.32 | $2.79 | −83% |
| Delivery Hero SE DHER | €37.05 | €12.71 | −66% |
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