Lenovo Group (LENOVO13) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TH · Market cap 94.9B THB (≈ $2.9B)
What is Lenovo Group really worth?
A solid business, but trading 62% above our fair value of 4.32 THB.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +25.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.39 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (2.47 THB to 5.39 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (10 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range 1.75 THB – 7.65 THB · fair‑value band 2.47 THB – 5.39 THB · the 7.00 THB price screens above the 4.32 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Lenovo Group (LENOVO13) currently trades at 7.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.32 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 4.95 THB per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the 7.00 THB price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 1.42 THB, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lenovo Group generated revenue of $83.1B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 27.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.6%. Net debt stands at $640M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.47 THB (bear case) to 5.39 THB (bull case); at 7.00 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 303% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −38%, LENOVO13 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.95 THB per share, which is 45.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4.95 THB) versus Asset-Based (0.4100 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lenovo Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and markets technology products and services. It operates through Intelligent Devices Group, Infrastructure Solutions Group, and Solutions and Services Group segments.
Full company description
Lenovo Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and markets technology products and services. It operates through Intelligent Devices Group, Infrastructure Solutions Group, and Solutions and Services Group segments. The company offers commercial and consumer personal computers, servers and workstations, and smartphones, as well as laptops, desktops, tablets, monitors, and accessories and software. It also provides consulting, deployment, managed, support, and security services. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes IT products, computers, computer hardware, and peripheral equipment; and offers IT, business planning, management, global supply chain, finance and accounting, administration support, procurement agency, data management, intellectual property, and investment management services. Further, it is involved in the retail and service business for consumer electronic products and related digital services; development, ownership, licensing, and sale of communications hardware and software; and develops software and applications. It operates in China, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lenovo Group reported revenue of $83.1B in FY2026 versus $61.9B in FY2023, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2026, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2023.
LENOVO13 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 222 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $456.24 | $187.75 | −59% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $201.09 | $57.72 | −71% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $441.57 | $47.49 | −89% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥246.21 | ¥30.66 | −88% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥35.18 | ¥40.44 | +15% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥376.88 | ¥91.67 | −76% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥83.19 | ¥39.38 | −53% |
| HP Inc HPQ | $30.52 | $48.62 | +59% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥73.79 | ¥44.02 | −40% |
| Super Micro Computer, Inc SMCI | $38.46 | $37.09 | −4% |
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