Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co (002415) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 313B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥30.11 to ¥40.44 (+34.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥31.14 (bear) to ¥49.73 (bull), base ¥40.44. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 81/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.64 – ¥59.05 · fair‑value band ¥31.14 – ¥49.73 · the ¥34.88 price screens below the ¥40.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co (002415) currently trades at ¥34.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥40.44, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co generated revenue of 94.7B CNY at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 29.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥31.14 (bear case) to ¥49.73 (bull case); at ¥34.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 16%, 002415 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥61.58) versus Asset-Based (¥6.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. provides machine perception and artificial intelligence technologies worldwide. The company offers cameras, including network, Turbo HD, and PTZ cameras; explosion-proof and anti-corrosion series; and CCTV accessories.
Full company description
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. provides machine perception and artificial intelligence technologies worldwide. The company offers cameras, including network, Turbo HD, and PTZ cameras; explosion-proof and anti-corrosion series; and CCTV accessories. It also provides video recorders and serves comprising network recorders, DVRs, DeepinMind intelligence, storage, servers, and kits; access control systems that include face recognition terminals, card terminals, readers, controllers, payment terminals, visitor terminals, electrical locks, and one-door access control system kits; speed gates and turnstiles; and video intercom products. In addition, the company offers interactive flat panel displays; LED displays; LCD video walls, monitors, and controllers; alarm systems, such as wired and wireless intrusion alarms, and intrusion accessories; networking products, including switches, wireless bridges, routers, wireless access points, and accessories; security and thermography thermal cameras; parking management products comprising vehicle access control management, parking guidance, and on-street parking cameras; traffic cameras, traffic servers, radars, mobile enforcement systems, supplement lights, signal control series, and traffic accessories; and portable products and enterprise PDAs. Further, it provides onboard security; security inspections products, such as x-ray inspection systems, detectors, millimeter wave security inspection, and intelligent security analyzers; audio products, including public address systems, security audio products, and audio accessories; acoustic and laser sensing products; auxiliary care and security radars; fire alarm systems, fusion detection cameras, and standalone detectors; and Hik-Connect, Hik-Partner Pro, HikCentral Professional, HikCentral Access Control, and HikCentral Focsign software. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co reported revenue of ¥92.5B in FY2025 versus ¥81.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥14.2B in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥287.66 | ¥30.66 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥414.30 | ¥91.67 | -78% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$29.04 | HK$4.30 | -85% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
| Lite-On Technology Corporation 2301 | 269.50 TWD | 121.96 TWD | -55% |
| Advantech Co 2395 | 686.00 TWD | 265.18 TWD | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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