Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd (002415) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 313B CNY (≈ $46.7B) · ISIN CNE100000PM8
What is Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd really worth?
A strong business, trading 14% below our fair value of ¥40.44.
Strengths
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −9.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.64 – ¥59.05 · fair‑value band ¥31.14 – ¥49.73 · the ¥34.87 price screens below the ¥40.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd (002415) currently trades at ¥34.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥40.44, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥61.58 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥34.87 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.28, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 94.7B CNY at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 29.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥31.14 (bear case) to ¥49.73 (bull case); at ¥34.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 16%, 002415 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3261 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥61.58) versus Asset-Based (¥6.28). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. provides machine perception and artificial intelligence technologies worldwide. The company offers cameras, including network, Turbo HD, and PTZ cameras; explosion-proof and anti-corrosion series; and CCTV accessories.
Full company description
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. provides machine perception and artificial intelligence technologies worldwide. The company offers cameras, including network, Turbo HD, and PTZ cameras; explosion-proof and anti-corrosion series; and CCTV accessories. It also provides video recorders and serves comprising network recorders, DVRs, DeepinMind intelligence, storage, servers, and kits; access control systems that include face recognition terminals, card terminals, readers, controllers, payment terminals, visitor terminals, electrical locks, and one-door access control system kits; speed gates and turnstiles; and video intercom products. In addition, the company offers interactive flat panel displays; LED displays; LCD video walls, monitors, and controllers; alarm systems, such as wired and wireless intrusion alarms, and intrusion accessories; networking products, including switches, wireless bridges, routers, wireless access points, and accessories; security and thermography thermal cameras; parking management products comprising vehicle access control management, parking guidance, and on-street parking cameras; traffic cameras, traffic servers, radars, mobile enforcement systems, supplement lights, signal control series, and traffic accessories; and portable products and enterprise PDAs. Further, it provides onboard security; security inspections products, such as x-ray inspection systems, detectors, millimeter wave security inspection, and intelligent security analyzers; audio products, including public address systems, security audio products, and audio accessories; acoustic and laser sensing products; auxiliary care and security radars; fire alarm systems, fusion detection cameras, and standalone detectors; and Hik-Connect, Hik-Partner Pro, HikCentral Professional, HikCentral Access Control, and HikCentral Focsign software. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 92.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 81.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 14.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 222 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $456.24 | $187.75 | −59% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $201.09 | $57.72 | −71% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $441.57 | $47.49 | −89% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥246.21 | ¥30.66 | −88% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥376.88 | ¥91.67 | −76% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$30.12 | HK$33.70 | +12% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥83.19 | ¥39.38 | −53% |
| HP Inc HPQ | $30.52 | $48.62 | +59% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥73.79 | ¥44.02 | −40% |
| Super Micro Computer, Inc SMCI | $38.46 | $37.09 | −4% |
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