Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd (002415) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd ¥46.76, price ¥34.06, upside +37.3%, quality 82 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd
002415 · SHEUndervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.
The stock costs 27% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.27 – ¥58.13 · fair‑value band ¥32.73 – ¥60.79 · the ¥34.06 price screens below the ¥46.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
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Company profile
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. provides machine perception and artificial intelligence technologies worldwide. The company offers cameras, including network, Turbo HD, and PTZ cameras; explosion-proof and anti-corrosion series; and CCTV accessories.
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It also provides video recorders and serves comprising network recorders, DVRs, DeepinMind intelligence, storage, servers, and kits; access control systems that include face recognition terminals, card terminals, readers, controllers, payment terminals, visitor terminals, electrical locks, and one-door access control system kits; speed gates and turnstiles; and video intercom products.
In addition, the company offers interactive flat panel displays; LED displays; LCD video walls, monitors, and controllers; alarm systems, such as wired and wireless intrusion alarms, and intrusion accessories; networking products, including switches, wireless bridges, routers, wireless access points, and accessories; security and thermography thermal cameras; parking management products comprising vehicle access control management, parking guidance, and on-street parking cameras; traffic cameras, traffic servers, radars, mobile enforcement systems, supplement lights, signal control series, and traffic accessories; and portable products and enterprise PDAs. Further, it provides onboard security; security inspections products, such as x-ray inspection systems, detectors, millimeter wave security inspection, and intelligent security analyzers; audio products, including public address systems, security audio products, and audio accessories; acoustic and laser sensing products; auxiliary care and security radars; fire alarm systems, fusion detection cameras, and standalone detectors; and Hik-Connect, Hik-Partner Pro, HikCentral Professional, HikCentral Access Control, and HikCentral Focsign software.
The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd (002415) currently trades at ¥34.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥46.76, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥60.50 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥34.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.28, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥32.73 (bear) to ¥60.79 (bull), the price of ¥34.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 92.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 81.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 14.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 313B CNY (≈ $46.8B) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.79 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 37%, 002415 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 209 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP Inc HPQ | $30.20 | $52.70 | +75% | vs 002415 |
| Sandisk Corporation SNDK | $1,582 | $2,239 | +42% | vs 002415 |
| Super Micro Computer, Inc SMCI | $42.77 | $45.03 | +5% | vs 002415 |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$32.34 | HK$33.73 | +4% | vs 002415 |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $204.52 | $161.24 | −21% | vs 002415 |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 322.00 TWD | 213.20 TWD | −34% | vs 002415 |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $397.28 | $182.63 | −54% | vs 002415 |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $576.76 | $195.72 | −66% | vs 002415 |
| Everpure, Inc P | $154.49 | $51.34 | −67% | vs 002415 |
| Seagate Technology Holdings STX | $747.20 | $220.46 | −70% | vs 002415 |
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Key figures of Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co Ltd
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