Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co (301308) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 265B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥60.86 to ¥91.67 (+50.6%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −26.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥117.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥63.94 to ¥117.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥47.82 – ¥723.10 · fair‑value band ¥63.94 – ¥117.75 · the ¥397.00 price screens above the ¥91.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co (301308) currently trades at ¥397.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥91.67, implying the stock looks roughly 76.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co generated revenue of 28.4B CNY at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue grew 132.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 58.3%. Net debt stands at 8.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥63.94 (bear case) to ¥117.75 (bull case); at ¥397.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301308 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥154.26) versus Dividend Discount (¥9.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, packaging, testing, production, and sales of semiconductor memory application products. The company provides embedded storage, solid-state drive, mobile memory, and memory module. It also offers automotive, industrial, enterprise, and small capacity storage solutions.
Full company description
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, packaging, testing, production, and sales of semiconductor memory application products. The company provides embedded storage, solid-state drive, mobile memory, and memory module. It also offers automotive, industrial, enterprise, and small capacity storage solutions. The company's products and services are used in various applications, including movie terminals, functional devices, smart home appliances, smart wearables, Netcom equipment, commercial electronics, smart devices, industrial control, security monitoring, in-vehicle applications, and artificial intelligence. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co reported revenue of ¥22.8B in FY2025 versus ¥9.7B in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.4B in FY2025, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2021.
301308 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 224 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥287.66 | ¥30.66 | -89% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$29.04 | HK$4.30 | -85% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
| Lite-On Technology Corporation 2301 | 269.50 TWD | 121.96 TWD | -55% |
| Advantech Co 2395 | 686.00 TWD | 265.18 TWD | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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