Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $5.1B · ISIN US5015901037

What is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• A fairly wide model range ($21.71 to $40.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.35 – $14.39 · fair‑value band $21.71 – $40.31 · the $14.39 price screens below the $31.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) currently trades at $14.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.01, implying the stock looks roughly 53.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $32.35 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the $14.39 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.95, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR generated revenue of $2.2T at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at $3.4T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.71 (bear case) to $40.31 (bull case); at $14.39, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at 116%, KYSEY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($32.35) versus DCF Models ($0.1895). Highest evidence: 5Y EBITDA Exit (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Sales Business, Transmission and Distribution Business, Overseas Businesses, ICT Services Business, Urban Development Business, and Other Energy Services Business segments. It is also involved in construction and maintenance of electrical equipment; sale of gas / LNG and coal; renewable energy business; data communication; optical broadband; telecommunications construction and maintenance; information system development; public-private partnership, and data center business. Further, the company develops and manages real estate. Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported revenue of $2.4T in FY2026 versus $1.7T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $163B in FY2026, compounding +120.6%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

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Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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