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Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $15.5B

JP Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc logo Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc JAZZ · US
Price$245.85
Fair Value$253.82
Upside+3.2%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $161.48 – $346.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $141.01 to $253.82 (+80.0%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($161.48 to $346.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$261.62 $97.78 Fair Value $253.82 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $97.78 – $261.62 · fair‑value band $161.48 – $346.16 · the $245.85 price screens below the $253.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) currently trades at $245.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $253.82, implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $161.48 (bear case) to $346.16 (bull case); at $245.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 3%, JAZZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $252.87 $561.25 $1,130 80
Rev-Margin DCF $67.27 $125.00 $207.54 74
Gordon GGM $14.33 $29.79 $47.26 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $264.69 $500.07 $1,135 38
Owner Earnings $20.82 $100.13 $260.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit $67.27 $118.53 $193.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $149.17 $300.37 $528.22 41
10Y Revenue Exit $124.92 $208.34 $304.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $183.15 $356.19 $645.65 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.33 $29.79 $47.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.33 $25.12 $31.26 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $13.99 $29.17 53
EV/EBITDA $107.15 $158.45 $209.75 54
EV/Revenue $13.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.37 $46.06 $68.75 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $252.87 $561.25 $1,130 80
Rev-Margin DCF $67.27 $125.00 $207.54 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($208.34) versus Multiples ($13.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.1%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 0.7%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
Operating margin 23.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) +3.2%
Net debt $4.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc identifies, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc identifies, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers Xywav to treat cataplexy or excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) with narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia (IH); Epidiolex for seizures associated with Lennox-Gastaut syndrome (LGS), Dravet syndrome (DS), or tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC); Rylaze for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia or lymphoblastic lymphoma; Enrylaze to treat acute lymphoblastic leukemia and lymphoblastic lymphoma; Zepzelca for the treatment of metastatic small cell lung cancer with disease progression on or after platinum-based chemotherapy; Ziihera to treat HER2-positive biliary tract cancers; Modeyso for the treatment of diffuse midline glioma harboring an H3 K27M mutation; and Defitelio to treat severe veno-occlusive disease. It also develops Zanidatamab in Phase 3 trial to treat HER2-positive gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma (GEA) and biliary tract cancers (BTC); Dordaviprone to treat H3 K27M-mutant diffuse glioma; and Vyxeos for the treatment of newly-diagnosed therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia. In addition, the company is developing Zanidatamab to treat neoadjuvant and adjuvant breast cancer; Vyxeos for the treatment of High-risk MDS, newly diagnosed untreated patients with high-risk AML, and De novo intermediate or adverse risk AML stratified by genomics; and JZP3507 to treat pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma that are in Phase 2 clinical trials. Further, it develops JZP815 to treat Raf and Ras mutant tumors; JZP898 for the IFN INDUKIN molecule in solid tumors; and JZP047 to treat absence epilepsy that are in Phase 1 clinical trials. The company has licensing and collaboration agreements with Redx Pharma plc, Autifony Therapeutics Limited, Zymeworks Inc., Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd., and Werewolf Therapeutics, Inc. Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.3B
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.3%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 $3.7B
FY23 $3.8B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $4.3B
Net income
FY21 −$329M
FY22 −$224M
FY23 $415M
FY24 $560M
FY25 −$356M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAZZ

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +3% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.50× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 38 · sector 0
FUTURE 96 · sector 0
PAST 3 · sector 0
HEALTH 50 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 317,500 KRW 39,476 KRW -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $253.82 versus a price of $245.85, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JAZZ?
Our model-based fair value for Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc is $253.82 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $245.85.
What is the quality score of JAZZ?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ)?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JAZZ?
The net profit margin of Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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