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Isrotel -L (ISRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Il · Market cap 7.5B ILA · ISIN IL0010809858

What is Isrotel -L really worth?

IL Isrotel -L ISRO · TA
Price133.90 ILA
Fair Value74.36 ILA
Upside−44.5%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 80% above our fair value of 74.36 ILA.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.9 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
Evidence: High Range 41.65 ILA – 116.24 ILA

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 28, 2026, revised from 74.60 ILA to 74.36 ILA (−0.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (116.24 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (41.65 ILA to 116.24 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

185.40 ILA 58.23 ILA Fair Value 74.36 ILA Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 58.23 ILA – 185.40 ILA · fair‑value band 41.65 ILA – 116.24 ILA · the 133.90 ILA price screens above the 74.36 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Isrotel -L (ISRO) currently trades at 133.90 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 74.36 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 76.42 ILA per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 133.90 ILA price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 15.10 ILA, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Isrotel -L generated revenue of 2.1B ILA at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 2.0B ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 41.65 ILA (bear case) to 116.24 ILA (bull case); at 133.90 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −44%, ISRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 2.61 ILS per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 31.80 ILA 54.01 ILA 88.12 ILA 78
Growth DCF 32.00 ILA 53.40 ILA 85.67 ILA 77
Owner Earnings 24.21 ILA 41.82 ILA 68.88 ILA 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 31.80 ILA 54.01 ILA 88.12 ILA 78
Owner Earnings 24.21 ILA 41.82 ILA 68.88 ILA 74
5Y Revenue Exit 28.16 ILA 48.86 ILA 75.70 ILA 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 62.04 ILA 114.45 ILA 177.72 ILA 73
5Y P/E Exit 51.22 ILA 93.51 ILA 139.49 ILA 69
10Y Revenue Exit 28.14 ILA 47.39 ILA 74.24 ILA 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 50.53 ILA 92.75 ILA 152.85 ILA 66
10Y P/E Exit 43.70 ILA 78.27 ILA 123.39 ILA 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 30.57 ILA 111.46 ILA 150.41 ILA 64
Lynch FV 26.53 ILA 37.89 ILA 49.26 ILA 61
PEG = 1.0 26.53 ILA 37.89 ILA 49.26 ILA 57
EPV 45.24 ILA 53.15 ILA 59.99 ILA 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.77 ILA 17.47 ILA 26.46 ILA 67
DDM Multi-Stage 8.77 ILA 15.10 ILA 18.45 ILA 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 74.17 ILA 98.89 ILA 123.62 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 34.59 ILA 46.12 ILA 57.65 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 57.31 ILA 76.42 ILA 95.52 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 85.90 ILA 116.16 ILA 146.43 ILA 66
EV/EBITDA 87.82 ILA 118.73 ILA 149.65 ILA 67
EV/Revenue 27.37 ILA 41.21 ILA 55.05 ILA 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 21.38 ILA 28.64 ILA 42.75 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 32.00 ILA 53.40 ILA 85.67 ILA 77
Rev-Margin DCF 28.16 ILA 48.77 ILA 73.54 ILA 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 37.45 ILA 41.83 ILA 68.57 ILA 74
ROIC Compounder 46.11 ILA 60.35 ILA 79.39 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 51.46 ILA 73.51 ILA 95.56 ILA 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (76.42 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (15.10 ILA). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 34.9
P/S ratio 4.08 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 3.84 ILA price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.9
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 25.5%
Net margin 11.7% FY2025
Return on equity 8.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −8.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.1B ILA TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −11.8% 3y avg +5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −1.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 184M ILA FY2025
Net debt 2.0B ILA FY2025 · ≈ 10.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Isrotel Ltd. operates and manages a chain of hotels in Israel and internationally. It operates hotels with various facilities, such as accommodation, culinary and leisure services, dining areas, conference halls, business lounges, bars, commercial areas, swimming pools, health and fitness clubs, pampering spa complexes, etc. Isrotel Ltd.

Full company description

Isrotel Ltd. operates and manages a chain of hotels in Israel and internationally. It operates hotels with various facilities, such as accommodation, culinary and leisure services, dining areas, conference halls, business lounges, bars, commercial areas, swimming pools, health and fitness clubs, pampering spa complexes, etc. Isrotel Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Isrotel -L reported revenue of 2.2B ILS in FY2025 versus 1.6B ILS in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 255M ILS in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B ILS
Latest YoY
+13.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.0% (4.3 + 0.7)
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 1.6B ILS
FY22 1.9B ILS
FY23 1.8B ILS
FY24 1.9B ILS
FY25 2.2B ILS
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 251M ILS
FY22 253M ILS
FY23 233M ILS
FY24 304M ILS
FY25 255M ILS
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 %

of which total revenue +5.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %

EBIT margin +6.7 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ISRO screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Isrotel -L · Fair Value
74.36 ILA −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Isrotel -L Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ISRO

Peer Group

Lodging · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 24
PAST34 · sector 12
HEALTH94 · sector 91
DIVIDEND15 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $341.76 $132.35 −61%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $314.35 $122.07 −61%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 −47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 −74%
H World Group HTHT $41.25 $47.78 +16%
Accor SA AC €46.52 €36.87 −21%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹723.35 ₹253.67 −65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $74.02 $23.55 −68%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 139,100 KRW 36,890 KRW −73%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $105.54 $61.72 −42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Isrotel -L (ISRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 74.36 ILA versus a price of 133.90 ILA, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ISRO?
Our model-based fair value for Isrotel -L is 74.36 ILA (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 133.90 ILA.
What is the quality score of ISRO?
Isrotel -L has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Isrotel -L (ISRO)?
Isrotel -L reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B ILS (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ISRO?
The net profit margin of Isrotel -L is about 10.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Isrotel -L pay a dividend?
Isrotel -L currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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