Huazhu Group Ltd (HTHT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $13.1B · ISIN US44332N1063
What is Huazhu Group Ltd really worth?
Huazhu Group Ltd
HTHT · US
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $47.78.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $47.55 to $47.78 (+0.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +9.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($37.05 to $82.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.48 – $54.63 · fair‑value band $37.05 – $82.08 · the $46.34 price screens below the $47.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Huazhu Group Ltd (HTHT) currently trades at $46.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.78, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $425.76 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the $46.34 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $27.91, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Huazhu Group Ltd generated revenue of $25.9B at a net margin of 19.3%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.4%. Net debt stands at $25.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.05 (bear case) to $82.08 (bull case); at $46.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 3%, HTHT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($549.63) versus Asset-Based ($27.91). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
H World Group Limited develops and operates leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
H World Group Limited develops and operates leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, Ibis Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Starway Hotel, Ibis Styles Hotel, Crystal Orange Hotel, IntercityHotel, Grand JI Hotel, Manxin Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Madison Hotel, Novotel Hotel, CitiGO Hotel, MAXX, Joya Hotel, Blossom House, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, Jaz in the City, Grand Mercure Hotel, Steigenberger Icons, and Song Hotels. The company was formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited and changed its name to H World Group Limited in June 2022. H World Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huazhu Group Ltd reported revenue of 24.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.9B CNY in FY2025.
of which total revenue +16.9 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Does H World Group (HTHT) Have the Potential to Rally 26.97% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
- 3 Reasons Why H World Group (HTHT) Is a Great Growth Stock
- H World (HTHT) Approved a $2.5 Billion Return Plan. Is Growth Being Sacrificed?
- H World Group (HTHT) Recently Broke Out Above the 200-Day Moving Average
Peer Group
Lodging · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $341.76 | $132.35 | −61% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $314.35 | $122.07 | −61% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | −47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | −74% |
| Accor SA AC | €46.52 | €36.87 | −21% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹723.35 | ₹253.67 | −65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $74.02 | $23.55 | −68% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 139,100 KRW | 36,890 KRW | −73% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $105.54 | $61.72 | −42% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 18.88 SAR | 11.64 SAR | −38% |
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