Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹204B (≈ $2.2B) · ISIN INE473B01035
What is Hatsun Agro Product Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 248% above our fair value of ₹335.81.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +28.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹419.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹777.87 – ₹1,403 · fair‑value band ₹251.86 – ₹419.77 · the ₹1,169 price screens above the ₹335.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Hatsun Agro Product Limited (HATSUN) currently trades at ₹1,169, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹335.81, implying the stock looks roughly 248.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹661.85 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,169 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹58.49, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hatsun Agro Product Limited generated revenue of ₹99.6B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. Net debt stands at ₹17.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹251.86 (bear case) to ₹419.77 (bull case); at ₹1,169, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −71%, HATSUN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹2.60 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹661.85) versus Asset-Based (₹58.49). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hatsun Agro Product Limited engages in the manufacture and marketing of milk, milk products, and cattle feed in India and internationally. The company offers ice cream; kulfi flavours; and topping and fermented dairy products, such as yoghurt and dairy-based spreads.
Full company description
Hatsun Agro Product Limited engages in the manufacture and marketing of milk, milk products, and cattle feed in India and internationally. The company offers ice cream; kulfi flavours; and topping and fermented dairy products, such as yoghurt and dairy-based spreads. It also provides dairy whitener, skimmed milk powder, ghee, paneer, curd, cooking and table butter, lassi, buttermilk, yoghurt shakes, cheese spread, juice, and cocoa-based confectionery. The company distributes its products through stores under the Arun Icecreams, Arokya, Hatsun, HAP daily, Ibaco, Hanobar, Havia Chocolates, Milky Moo, Daily Moo, Imiyo, and Santosa brand names. Hatsun Agro Product Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hatsun Agro Product Limited reported revenue of ₹99.6B in FY2026 versus ₹63.5B in FY2022, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.6B in FY2026, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +10.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HATSUN screens 248% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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