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GSK plc (GSK) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $102B

GP GSK plc logo GSK plc GSK · US
Price$50.45
Fair Value$52.06
Upside+3.2%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: High Range $32.11 – $78.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $52.94 to $52.06 (−1.7%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($32.11 to $78.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.14 $24.74 Fair Value $52.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.74 – $60.14 · fair‑value band $32.11 – $78.44 · the $50.45 price screens below the $52.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

GSK plc (GSK) currently trades at $50.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.06, implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, GSK plc generated revenue of $32.8B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.9%. Net debt stands at $14.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $32.11 (bear case) to $78.44 (bull case); at $50.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 3%, GSK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $27.03 $40.72 $59.65 80
Residual Income $19.11 $25.74 $178.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF $26.68 $44.58 $64.13 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $26.21 $41.14 $62.82 38
Owner Earnings $38.48 $59.22 $89.36 31
5Y Revenue Exit $26.68 $44.37 $66.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $41.55 $71.17 $104.78 41
5Y P/E Exit $32.54 $54.92 $77.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit $25.21 $41.07 $61.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.55 $59.32 $89.51 37
10Y P/E Exit $29.89 $48.26 $69.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $19.40 $49.53 $64.44 54
PEG = 1.0 $9.24 $13.21 $17.17 46
EPV $29.04 $34.77 $39.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $11.49 $22.31 $37.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage $11.49 $17.53 $24.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $47.07 $62.75 $78.44 63
P/S Multiple $36.37 $48.49 $60.62 58
P/B Multiple $27.53 $36.71 $45.89 55
EV/EBIT $47.75 $65.43 $83.12 53
EV/EBITDA $57.75 $78.77 $99.79 54
EV/Revenue $28.93 $43.60 $58.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.08 $5.47 $8.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $27.03 $40.72 $59.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $26.68 $44.58 $64.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.11 $25.74 $178.83 76
ROIC Compounder $30.70 $38.90 $47.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $36.37 $51.96 $67.55 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.96) versus Asset-Based ($5.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $32.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 17.8%
Return on equity 40.9%
Free cash flow $5.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 36.3%
EPS (TTM) $3.82
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.4%
Net debt $14.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GSK plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of vaccines, specialty medicines, and general medicines to prevent and treat disease in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Commercial Operations and Total R&D segments.

Full company description

GSK plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of vaccines, specialty medicines, and general medicines to prevent and treat disease in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Commercial Operations and Total R&D segments. The company offers specialty medicines that include oncology, respiratory/immunology, inflammation, and inhaled medicines for HIV, respiratory eosinophildriven diseases, lupus and lupus nephritis, ovarian cancer, and endometrial cancer. It also provides vaccines for Shingles, Meningitis, RSV, Seasonal Influenza, Hepatitis, Diphtheria, Tetanus, Acellular Pertussis, Rotavirus, Pertussis, Polio, Haemophilus, Invasive Diseases, Pneumonia, Acute Otitis Media, Measles, Mumps, Rubella and Chickenpox, and Human Papilloma Virus. Additionally, the company offers general medicines for asthma, COPD, bacterial infection, benign prostatic hyperplasia, allergic rhinitis, and inflammatory skin conditions. It also focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of oral small molecule therapies for patients with unmet needs in oncology and inflammatory diseases. It has a collaboration agreement with CureVac to develop mRNA vaccines for infectious diseases. The company has a strategic alliance with AN2 Therapeutics, Inc. for the development of new therapies for TB. GSK plc was formerly known as GlaxoSmithKline plc and changed its name to GSK plc in May 2022. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GSK plc reported revenue of $32.7B in FY2025 versus $24.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $5.7B in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$32.7B
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 $24.7B
FY22 $29.3B
FY23 $30.3B
FY24 $31.4B
FY25 $32.7B
Net income +6.9%/yr
FY21 $4.4B
FY22 $15.0B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $5.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.1 pp

of which total revenue +2.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.5 pp

EBIT margin −1.0 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GSK plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSK

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Above median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 6.21× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.10× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 18.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 38 · sector 0
FUTURE 8 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 49
HEALTH 57 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 44

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,220 $389.47 -68%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $260.86 $169.04 -35%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $248.76 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €240.14 -39%
Merck & Co MRK €115.42 €118.21 +2%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 1,964 MXN -28%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $158.50 $127.32 -20%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 299.50 kr 409.46 +37%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,041 MXN +35%
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft BAYER 17,685 HUF 14,810 HUF -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GSK plc (GSK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.06 versus a price of $50.45, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GSK?
Our model-based fair value for GSK plc is $52.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $50.45.
What is the quality score of GSK?
GSK plc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GSK plc (GSK)?
GSK plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GSK?
The net profit margin of GSK plc is about 17.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GSK plc pay a dividend?
GSK plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.56% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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